TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

FC Metz vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,517

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,517 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Under55c44,204$24,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,197.18520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over45c15,302$6,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,488.316952.2%36 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over45c11,249$5,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,239.124459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c11,207$5,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7691,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over45c7,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8502751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over45c5,093$2,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,801.1662648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over45c5,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7505060%30 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over45c3,490$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,922.1721144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under56c3,205$1,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7951435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over46c2,487$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,342.961241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Over46c1,752$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.073557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Under56c1,714$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Over45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5502254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over48c850$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.032138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over45c800$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4406756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over45c778$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.99553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under55c774.76$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.0187344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Over45c673.36$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.592934.5%10 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over42c595.24$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.248254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under55c544.97$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.733551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over46c543.48$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.481258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over45c450$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.510948.6%53 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.442944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Under56c436$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.16450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under56c435.71$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2441540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under56c435.24$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.733141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22010545.7%48 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over45c365.92$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.1629949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed Under56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16517756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1655364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1629752.6%51 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16523260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16513655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16510952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1624161%25 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Over46c260.87$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.87875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over45c250$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.57163.4%45 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over45c248.34$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.921070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+29%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over45c230$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.511556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under54c214.89$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.0421143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Over45c210$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.54252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Under44c208.17$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.241464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+38.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1104562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1109355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1109954.5%54 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over46c181.42$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.971127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over45c180$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999158.2%53 W · 38 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over45c180$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998460.7%51 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Under56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over56c173.17$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.196360.3%38 W · 25 L+9.2wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+39.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under39c170.55$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.931,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over50c153.78$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1959348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over45c153.19$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.28434.5%29 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over45c150$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.520860.6%126 W · 82 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…d370backed Under56c139.96$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.341926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-40.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over45c138.64$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2514544.8%65 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over71c136.78$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1126660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under29c122$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.764330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669354.8%51 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6611256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6610653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668755.2%48 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667655.3%42 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6610556.2%59 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668858%51 W · 37 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6610756.1%60 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over45c118.41$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.626157.4%35 W · 26 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under55c117.03$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.743672.2%26 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.643231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+52.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee26…9dcabacked Over44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+53%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under55c95.45$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5617251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Over64c93.75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.752166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x208b…9613backed Over45c88.46$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+121.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over45c85.55$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.053351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under55c76.9$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.39256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb8a…8775backed Under60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401275%9 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over45c66.59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.623943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f68…4132backed Over46c65.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.211050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+39.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337857.7%45 W · 33 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Over45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336355.6%35 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x101a…a4d2backed Over67c58.24$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.222100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.352540%10 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Under54c51.32$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.717529.3%22 W · 53 L-14.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-48.2%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Under56c51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.56944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.58653.5%46 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.510158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.510652.8%56 W · 50 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Under54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254450%22 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.444148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Under56c44.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229655.2%53 W · 43 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Under54c37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.982437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under54c37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.984546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Under54c37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.981353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.