Ligue 1 · resolved market
FC Metz vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8791f620e90e1bcee82ba10ff67b58cbcd059236c8960a1d883c2e5f7d32c85a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,541 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3541…78debacked Yes | 55c | 1,081$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 895.59$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.34 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed No | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 49c | 537.29$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.68 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…6b7fbacked No | 49c | 302.93$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 49c | 237.16$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.95 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed No | 11c | 199.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 62c | 193.11$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.11 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3efc…c079backed No | 51c | 179$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x220b…33ffbacked Yes | 49c | 175.91$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c0…df7dbacked No | 51c | 175$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b4…d227backed No | 51c | 172.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426c…dbd1backed No | 51c | 172$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d99…480ebacked No | 51c | 171.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15b9…aae7backed Yes | 49c | 171.63$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…2676backed No | 51c | 171$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d518backed Yes | 49c | 167.01$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0680…dfbdbacked Yes | 49c | 166.5$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc35…feb9backed Yes | 49c | 166.36$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…e772backed No | 51c | 166$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24aa…a90ebacked No | 51c | 165$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9812…e996backed Yes | 49c | 162.88$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c47…bbddbacked No | 51c | 161.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f39…f1e8backed Yes | 49c | 158.5$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044a…62a0backed Yes | 49c | 154.97$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…5f28backed Yes | 49c | 153.37$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8530…fe49backed No | 51c | 153$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd5…ab7dbacked Yes | 49c | 151.09$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e9…1121backed No | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc8…56cbbacked No | 51c | 149$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…d088backed No | 51c | 148$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd826…eda1backed Yes | 49c | 147.1$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…ab14backed Yes | 49c | 145.84$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…bb2fbacked Yes | 49c | 145.63$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa948…bf47backed Yes | 49c | 144.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee3…45c9backed Yes | 49c | 144.62$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeec…ffc2backed Yes | 49c | 143.16$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa257…2490backed No | 51c | 141$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…545dbacked No | 51c | 140$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…f7d2backed Yes | 49c | 139.9$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e8…c39bbacked Yes | 49c | 138.02$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 49c | 134.85$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.77 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x110f…3472backed Yes | 49c | 129.38$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87cf…4a6abacked No | 51c | 127$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…d13bbacked Yes | 49c | 126.11$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…6367backed No | 51c | 125$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f74…37b9backed No | 51c | 123$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb644…bb6bbacked No | 51c | 122$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb15…0605backed No | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked No | 51c | 101.08$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0a…7ca8backed Yes | 51c | 77.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…687ebacked Yes | 51c | 77.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x023e…a3b9backed Yes | 51c | 74.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Yes | 49c | 73.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…41c4backed Yes | 51c | 72.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed No | 52c | 56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 49c | 40.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415d…a37cbacked No | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a95…5e45backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed No | 52c | 37.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked No | 51c | 34.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…99adbacked No | 52c | 34.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 58c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe856…4711backed No | 44c | 27.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed Yes | 57c | 26.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 48c | 25.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…a03cbacked Yes | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed No | 52c | 23.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 48c | 23.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x921b…b52fbacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Metz vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Metz vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Metz vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Metz vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Metz vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Toulouse FC (-1.5)FC Metz won
- Spread: Toulouse FC (-2.5)FC Metz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.