CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e71a5d2cf1b2a3d19e01b605f8d89a63d8cb34e85d417cc366d95b3458776c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof ex-RUBY, Bebop
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,796 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bebop | 45c | 3,516$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.97 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUBY | 60c | 3,500$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.3 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed ex-RUBY | 60c | 3,200$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bebop | 40c | 3,040$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.57 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…df44backed Bebop | 39c | 2,620$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5731…bde7backed ex-RUBY | 61c | 2,620$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Bebop | 47c | 1,667$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.92 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…6bc7backed ex-RUBY | 69c | 1,494$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.06 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bd…b013backed ex-RUBY | 35c | 1,430$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.83 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Bebop | 36c | 1,227$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.22 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0087…fc86backed Bebop | 42c | 768$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Bebop | 40c | 651.05$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.42 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Bebop | 40c | 635$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed ex-RUBY | 52c | 613.1$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.1 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bebop | 40c | 598.78$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.37 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x890f…8d21backed Bebop | 42c | 575$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb6…ad74backed ex-RUBY | 58c | 568$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ex-RUBY | 47c | 567.64$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.54 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf03c…3effbacked Bebop | 42c | 520$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Bebop | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Bebop | 40c | 493.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Bebop | 74c | 468.57$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.74 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed ex-RUBY | 68c | 401.73$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Bebop | 40c | 359.1$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…0753backed ex-RUBY | 58c | 335$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf6…dad4backed ex-RUBY | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked ex-RUBY | 60c | 298.69$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.27 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bebop | 51c | 282.8$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.44 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…1d66backed ex-RUBY | 36c | 255.56$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…dd89backed ex-RUBY | 19c | 250$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Bebop | 40c | 245$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc637…ab8fbacked ex-RUBY | 58c | 240$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4643…4166backed ex-RUBY | 58c | 220$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked ex-RUBY | 59c | 217.27$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.72 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…19f5backed ex-RUBY | 61c | 213.11$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed ex-RUBY | 71c | 200$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefe…a0d2backed ex-RUBY | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Bebop | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bebop | 72c | 190.03$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.71 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bebop | 40c | 179.8$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Bebop | 22c | 153$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bebop | 20c | 149.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Bebop | 15c | 134.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Bebop | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Bebop | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Bebop | 41c | 124.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Bebop | 32c | 117.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Bebop | 40c | 113.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked ex-RUBY | 48c | 105.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…2224backed Bebop | 41c | 105.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed ex-RUBY | 61c | 102$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Bebop | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Bebop | 41c | 89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Bebop | 40c | 85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed ex-RUBY | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 294 | 65.3%192 W · 102 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Bebop | 29c | 74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed ex-RUBY | 59c | 65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bebop | 43c | 62.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bebop | 41c | 60.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed ex-RUBY | 31c | 58.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed ex-RUBY | 39c | 56.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed Bebop | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9550…ed14backed Bebop | 46c | 51.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Bebop | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Bebop | 30c | 49.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Bebop | 53c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f10…ed42backed ex-RUBY | 39c | 47.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ef10backed Bebop | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Bebop | 32c | 41.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed ex-RUBY | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 121 | 58.7%71 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked ex-RUBY | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed ex-RUBY | 75c | 36.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed ex-RUBY | 74c | 36.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4e…57e8backed ex-RUBY | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked ex-RUBY | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedea…8b39backed ex-RUBY | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked ex-RUBY | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0f…b0ecbacked ex-RUBY | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…07b4backed ex-RUBY | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Bebop - Map 1 WinnerBebop won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Bebop - Map 2 Winnerex-RUBY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.