Euroleague · resolved market
Saski Baskonia vs. Paris Basketball
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e2431718fd17a7c01fbcb5ba463abc5e3ad1b6fdc829b3f986a753e0e596a34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paris Basketballof Saski Baskonia, Paris Basketball
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,192 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7203…22d6backed Paris Basketball | 42c | 1,379$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.29 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Paris Basketball | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked Saski Baskonia | 3c | 945.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Paris Basketball | 41c | 760.53$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.71 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Saski Baskonia | 58c | 750.34$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Paris Basketball | 75c | 655.7$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.96 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Saski Baskonia | 12c | 600$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Saski Baskonia | 30c | 560.18$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.16 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed Saski Baskonia | 60c | 535.9$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Saski Baskonia | 29c | 475.81$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.65 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Saski Baskonia | 59c | 364.37$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.98 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Saski Baskonia | 29c | 340.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Saski Baskonia | 29c | 308.8$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.46 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Paris Basketball | 39c | 290.07$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.94 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Saski Baskonia | 58c | 277.8$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.12 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Saski Baskonia | 57c | 240.39$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.02 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Saski Baskonia | 58c | 172.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Saski Baskonia | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Saski Baskonia | 59c | 124.4$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Paris Basketball | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Saski Baskonia | 52c | 96.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Saski Baskonia | 37c | 92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Paris Basketball | 70c | 90.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Paris Basketball | 41c | 73.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Paris Basketball | 76c | 66.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…0488backed Saski Baskonia | 59c | 52.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Paris Basketball | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Saski Baskonia | 36c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4faa…7a49backed Saski Baskonia | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Saski Baskonia | 59c | 44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Paris Basketball | 53c | 39.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Saski Baskonia | 57c | 34.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf553…a85cbacked Paris Basketball | 42c | 32.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Saski Baskonia | 59c | 26.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d9…0f79backed Saski Baskonia | 58c | 26.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14cc…4d2dbacked Saski Baskonia | 59c | 23.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.