South American Leagues · resolved market
Fluminense FC vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x192721c7d465ac94fab9f73e07912fafd5ca5caddbfbebcdb5b2f38ff3e9cbda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,180 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 43c | 2,295$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.04 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 42c | 1,567$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.85 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 57c | 1,303$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.19 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 1,135$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.4 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked No | 57c | 1,092$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.71 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed No | 56c | 1,052$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.07 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed No | 57c | 993$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.99 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 43c | 979.44$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.16 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 42c | 804.62$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.7 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 717.61$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.76 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df6…c33bbacked Yes | 42c | 242.54$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.45 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Yes | 47c | 163$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed No | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 53c | 111.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x445c…c4f1backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed No | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x728c…8434backed Yes | 39c | 63.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 31cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Yes | 45c | 31.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 44c | 27.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 57c | 21.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fluminense FC vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Fluminense FC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-2.5)Fluminense FC won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)CA Mineiro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.