La Liga · resolved market
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-02-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8a295e1c63a5a1a5d3236310db3165f9c7f5749ee439032adf9e2ab5b3da2ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Yes | 53c | 36,604$19,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,319.91 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed No | 47c | 12,335$5,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,797.22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 48c | 8,125$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 53c | 7,500$3,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,525 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e41…a1c1backed No | 47c | 5,106$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 5,060$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380.33 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 7c | 4,501$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.08 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a3…9fffbacked No | 48c | 3,834$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 47c | 3,781$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.22 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 9c | 1,724$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.34 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 50c | 1,644$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 46c | 1,383$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.07 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed No | 48c | 955$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.4 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 4c | 954.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 52c | 717.89$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.59 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 53c | 583.01$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.02 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed No | 47c | 327.25$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.81 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 47c | 308$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.88 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed No | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 48c | 288.96$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.67 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 47c | 137.49$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 47c | 104.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 37c | 99.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Yes | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 45c | 63.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 53c | 63.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 61c | 63.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 50c | 49.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 50c | 48.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 492 | 52.6%259 W · 233 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 51c | 33.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Andorra win on 2026-02-22?this page
- Will FC Andorra vs. Real Zaragoza end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-02-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.