TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will EC Bahia win on 2026-03-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$241,592

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,592 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes59c25,510$15,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,479.2831349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes55c21,798$11,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,809.123354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No45c14,980$6,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,689.7337851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No44c11,637$5,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,157.523151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes73c9,991$7,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,740.649449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No31c9,039$2,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,783.348,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ba8…cdb3backed Yes57c7,482$4,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,217.162254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes77c7,109$5,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,613.111,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes60c4,460$2,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,783.9630841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed No1c3,881$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4611230.4%34 W · 78 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-41%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No43c3,793$1,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,630.996055%33 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked No43c3,793$1,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,630.854845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No45c3,500$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5755259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes53c3,483$1,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,638.8220046%92 W · 108 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Yes59c3,390$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.831758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No43c3,200$1,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3761850%9 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes55c2,553$1,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.33,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No45c2,500$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1253652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No4c2,240$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.13,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No45c1,895$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.7522457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No14c1,879$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.711,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No46c1,675$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.1581651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4823…a48bbacked Yes59c1,541$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67511459.6%68 W · 46 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed No45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6752245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes57c1,316$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.795354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No34c1,012$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.681,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41013134.4%45 W · 86 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed No43c993.02$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4271957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+73.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No45c965$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.255160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd710…cf6fbacked Yes79c923.28$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes59c853$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.8619239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes56c823.85$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.885,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed No36c715.78$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.869124.2%22 W · 69 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No20c597.01$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.427053%143 W · 127 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Yes52c594.6$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.413268.8%22 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+31.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes79c580.04$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.813167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked Yes57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.32450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+33.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes57c522$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.4617143.9%75 W · 96 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes55c516.57$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.111,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2007951.9%41 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2254656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306119.7%12 W · 49 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2254153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Yes58c499.97$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.992657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes58c499$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.583259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes79c496.99$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.271,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No40c488.5$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.42,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No36c420.65$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.471,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No12c419.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6121132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes61c409.3$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.4545746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Yes59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1641968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafb1…0329backed No50c340.6$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.32560%15 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1294242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.469956.6%56 W · 43 L+12.3wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Yes58c256.92$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.913100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Yes59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.241942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No22c250$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5570055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No45c250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.519460.3%117 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No45c250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.512761.4%78 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No41c243.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9931745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No45c242.81$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.445752.6%30 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No45c216$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8713545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ebc…8b41backed Yes61c213.11$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.11540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Yes58c210.34$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.341656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No44c210.12$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4550746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4588…d206backed Yes58c199.9$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.96850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8393…4f91backed No38c199.2$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.652236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No43c193$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9923542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes75c192.44$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7914570.3%102 W · 43 L+22.6wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x3218…a011backed Yes58c191$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.22560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No45c180$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1155155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Yes80c179.37$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.874369.8%30 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes50c177.64$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.641,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No45c175$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.755160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No45c175$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.757856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4916262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked Yes60c167.53$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.013345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No15c157.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0735758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No42c155.39$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.91,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.53151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.57153.5%38 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.52850%14 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No45c140$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636558.5%38 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed Yes58c139$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.38837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-44.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Yes57c138.1$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.067554.7%41 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No43c133.33$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.557745.5%35 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No45c125$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.254654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No45c125$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2517960.3%108 W · 71 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No45c125$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.256962.3%43 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked No45c120$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No49c120$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.467548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No45c120$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547055.7%39 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No45c120$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5413557%77 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked No45c111.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.063351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed No31c111.54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.468248.8%40 W · 42 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No15c104.34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.652334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No13c103$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0981740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x993f…35cbbacked No50c100.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.54757.4%27 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.