Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd49fe71aa9d609cf46b872210ff0e594bcf042b0a302243b8ff71816f7db780d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,089 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 47c | 5,790$2,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,731.72 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 53c | 5,500$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.99 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350.02 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 48c | 4,825$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 47c | 2,894$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.43 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 68c | 2,642$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.6 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 77c | 2,566$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.99 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 47c | 1,435$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.59 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 52c | 1,138$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.24 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 76c | 968.29$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.39 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 32c | 745.27$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.08 | 123 | 19.5%24 W · 99 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 46c | 456.34$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.66 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 52c | 382.69$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.69 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 48c | 331.69$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.21 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 44c | 217$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.39 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 10c | 163.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 56c | 150.37$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.34 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 52c | 127.14$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.04 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked Yes | 53c | 119.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Yes | 53c | 107$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 47c | 104.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 70c | 99.46$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Yes | 77c | 77.03$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 51c | 76.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 37c | 75.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 47c | 74.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked No | 47c | 73.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 39c | 71.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 47c | 65.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 53c | 63.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 50c | 62.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 47c | 47.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 47c | 42.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb7…a3f7backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 48c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 49c | 32.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93e…96eabacked No | 47c | 23.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Yes | 77c | 22.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 70c | 18.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Yes | 77c | 13.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.03 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will Kilmarnock FC vs. Livingston FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Livingston FC win on 2026-03-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.