La Liga · resolved market
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-02-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18a73a04293e9cb49ae3ae463bbdb4278bc4c2ac9b87f4abc4ab95f6364d1fb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 47c | 11,500$5,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,404.95 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 53c | 6,174$3,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,901.7 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 56c | 4,000$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.55 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 26c | 3,545$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.87 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 53c | 3,142$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.51 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 2,347$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.43 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 6c | 2,130$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.1 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 53c | 1,558$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.23 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Yes | 5c | 1,002$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 53c | 807.76$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.07 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 47c | 780.85$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Yes | 46c | 723.89$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.94 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 53c | 700.77$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.36 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Yes | 44c | 543.17$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 46c | 440.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.48 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 44c | 383.76$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.85 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 45c | 331.31$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.22 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 45c | 328.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.44 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…fab1backed No | 56c | 254.28$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 47c | 236.28$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 54c | 227.35$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.48 | 95 | 28.4%27 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…b6bdbacked Yes | 55c | 219.72$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7b…20bbbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 53c | 200.32$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.15 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc226…497dbacked No | 56c | 187.73$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eca…2872backed Yes | 50c | 168.85$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ba…1ae8backed Yes | 7c | 148.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 65c | 146.62$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 38c | 145.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 45c | 101$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…e821backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7a…500cbacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 44c | 97.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Yes | 45c | 76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc913…80ddbacked Yes | 36c | 75.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x279a…ffc2backed Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 16c | 65.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4913…d01bbacked No | 62c | 58.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed Yes | 44c | 55.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 54c | 49.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 54c | 41.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 46c | 41.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 45c | 34.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked Yes | 47c | 33.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Yes | 44c | 33.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked No | 55c | 32.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 58c | 31.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 142 | 59.9%85 W · 57 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 66c | 31.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 56c | 31.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x078f…aa10backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd258…9dfdbacked Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 35c | 29.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 44c | 28.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…483abacked No | 53c | 26.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 65cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed Yes | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 55c | 22.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-02-23?this page
- Will Cádiz CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-02-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.