La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-02-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5796c7845b8db19317acb85d840dfa48cd26d09f864be639c2f97e9e3cb39448
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 16c | 3,652$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.48 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 1,282$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.95 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf074…9164backed Yes | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 26c | 752.05$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.14 | 95 | 28.4%27 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 730.68$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.93 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…d067backed Yes | 76c | 578.04$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.73 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked No | 76c | 422.91$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked No | 13c | 410.54$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -65%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Yes | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 25c | 240$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.4 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Yes | 24c | 206.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 16c | 183.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked No | 77c | 155.84$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 19c | 116.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 14c | 99.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 25c | 93.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 25c | 86.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 73c | 80.19$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.54 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Yes | 26c | 75.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 26c | 75.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.56 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 24c | 74.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.29 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 20c | 73.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Yes | 27c | 70.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.37 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed No | 17c | 67.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 76c | 50.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce79…0047backed No | 29c | 45.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1e…945cbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 74c | 37.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…f396backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 62c | 29.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 76c | 19.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 119 | 62.2%74 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 73c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 77c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xaabf…21dbbacked Yes | 80c | 12.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.54 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-02-23?this page
- Will Cádiz CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B end in a draw?No won
- Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-02-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.