CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Acend (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa428acba1b87d8e9811721caa2b3749a2aef3ad5c861063f025ad909d221997
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acendof AM Gaming, Acend
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x11ee…85febacked AM Gaming | 13c | 2,392$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Acend | 52c | 1,931$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.82 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed AM Gaming | 50c | 370$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.54 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed AM Gaming | 51c | 313.73$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.03 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed AM Gaming | 37c | 299.21$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.83 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Acend | 50c | 230$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Acend | 32c | 180.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.52 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Acend | 59c | 151.95$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.27 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed AM Gaming | 45c | 148.32$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4380…9b41backed Acend | 56c | 134.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Acend | 57c | 128.37$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96d…cf14backed Acend | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Acend | 69c | 101.58$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617f…cde5backed AM Gaming | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 69cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked AM Gaming | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed AM Gaming | 49c | 91.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…f616backed AM Gaming | 27c | 89.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked AM Gaming | 57c | 70.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d7…615fbacked AM Gaming | 45c | 65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed AM Gaming | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed AM Gaming | 27c | 58.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Acend | 57c | 41.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…7ee6backed AM Gaming | 67c | 37.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked AM Gaming | 53c | 36.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Acend | 49c | 35.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Acend | 57c | 35.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Acend | 53c | 35.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f7…919bbacked Acend | 50c | 35.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc72e…656dbacked AM Gaming | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Acend | 60c | 32.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Acend | 56c | 30.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Acend | 56c | 28.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…a5fbbacked Acend | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 63cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…c8f4backed AM Gaming | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Acend (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Acend - Map 2 WinnerAcend won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.