TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Indiana State Sycamores

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Southern Illinois Salukisof Southern Illinois Salukis, Indiana State Sycamores
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,843
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,626

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,843 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x161a…4103backed Indiana State Sycamores34c2,661$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.082,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Southern Illinois Salukis51c2,555$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.926043.3%26 W · 34 L-6.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Indiana State Sycamores52c2,537$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.56666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Indiana State Sycamores52c2,517$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.032,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Southern Illinois Salukis47c2,156$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.0927450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Southern Illinois Salukis45c1,966$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.3937441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Southern Illinois Salukis52c1,492$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.3189850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Southern Illinois Salukis60c1,296$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.2724444.7%109 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Indiana State Sycamores37c1,259$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.171,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Indiana State Sycamores50c1,171$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.5112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae8c…93cdbacked Southern Illinois Salukis47c894$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.8211347.8%54 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Indiana State Sycamores54c672$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.8815851.9%82 W · 76 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Southern Illinois Salukis69c667.78$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.251,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Indiana State Sycamores22c666.22$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.783,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Indiana State Sycamores47c652$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.4481453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Southern Illinois Salukis47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.31,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Indiana State Sycamores52c583.15$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.2474649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Indiana State Sycamores51c522.99$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.142,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Southern Illinois Salukis68c498.68$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.582,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Southern Illinois Salukis52c470.97$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.0737142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Indiana State Sycamores53c465.53$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.731,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Indiana State Sycamores49c459.88$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.115,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Southern Illinois Salukis47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21282048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Southern Illinois Salukis68c400$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12843450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Southern Illinois Salukis49c386.58$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.1678052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Indiana State Sycamores54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Southern Illinois Salukis58c352.18$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.583,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Southern Illinois Salukis58c347.44$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.563,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Indiana State Sycamores55c327.27$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18079448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15a2…5745backed Southern Illinois Salukis56c302.65$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.16728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Indiana State Sycamores50c297$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.871,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Indiana State Sycamores49c285.71$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Southern Illinois Salukis54c232.94$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.621,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Southern Illinois Salukis70c223$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.739742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Southern Illinois Salukis54c222.22$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2245351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9e5…eb6abacked Indiana State Sycamores49c202.03$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9915733.1%52 W · 105 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Southern Illinois Salukis53c194.65$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.157448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Southern Illinois Salukis66c188.44$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7368254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Indiana State Sycamores55c165$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.755738.6%22 W · 35 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-24.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Southern Illinois Salukis48c161.67$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.8524340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Indiana State Sycamores48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7227048.1%130 W · 140 L+12.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Indiana State Sycamores36c121.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3913350.4%67 W · 66 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Indiana State Sycamores36c112.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7745953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Southern Illinois Salukis50c102$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517343.8%32 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Indiana State Sycamores49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4921449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Southern Illinois Salukis68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.686657.6%38 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96b5…0821backed Southern Illinois Salukis52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484228.6%12 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Indiana State Sycamores53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Indiana State Sycamores38c93$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.914,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Southern Illinois Salukis54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.591442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Indiana State Sycamores38c88.06$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.371,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Indiana State Sycamores44c83.6$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.792,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Southern Illinois Salukis60c79.75$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0287047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ce1…b62cbacked Southern Illinois Salukis52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.927955.7%44 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Southern Illinois Salukis49c70.2$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.85,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Indiana State Sycamores34c70.01$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.911,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Southern Illinois Salukis46c65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.11,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Indiana State Sycamores34c61.23$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.631,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Southern Illinois Salukis49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.62,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Indiana State Sycamores31c54.86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.061,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb25f…32c9backed Southern Illinois Salukis80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106952.2%36 W · 33 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Indiana State Sycamores33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.564658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Southern Illinois Salukis54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2352353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Southern Illinois Salukis51c47.64$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2121651.4%111 W · 105 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Southern Illinois Salukis63c47.07$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6529954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Indiana State Sycamores46c44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.161,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafc2…700bbacked Indiana State Sycamores49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201060%6 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Southern Illinois Salukis52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4631057.4%178 W · 132 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d2…3c94backed Southern Illinois Salukis69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.232075%15 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Indiana State Sycamores50c33.18$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6199848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc006…036abacked Southern Illinois Salukis46c32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.163240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Indiana State Sycamores48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1536248.6%176 W · 186 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b4…f3c1backed Indiana State Sycamores49c26.82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Southern Illinois Salukis67c26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.461,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Indiana State Sycamores44c24.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.963423.5%8 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7226…873dbacked Indiana State Sycamores46c24.34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.095637.5%21 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x517e…4fb2backed Southern Illinois Salukis55c24.15$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.82757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed Southern Illinois Salukis46c22.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1525152.6%132 W · 119 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf351…9a32backed Southern Illinois Salukis53c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Indiana State Sycamores55c21.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1239050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcadf…5f4bbacked Southern Illinois Salukis53c20.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.494100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+79%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Southern Illinois Salukis71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7410095%95 W · 5 L+21.3wins+0.21per pick74cpaid+29.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Southern Illinois Salukis56c18.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1994036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Southern Illinois Salukis68c16.95$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3493247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.