TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

St. Louis City SC vs. New England Revolution: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,366

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,366 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Under47c145,471$68,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,556.8715647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over53c34,985$18,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,495.483,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over52c13,642$7,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,522.4712451.6%64 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Over53c10,802$5,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,076.892934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over53c9,372$4,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,404.842166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+32.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over53c8,577$4,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,031.242133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-33.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Over52c7,960$4,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,782.3862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over53c7,724$4,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,626.4897146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over53c7,029$3,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,303.632181%17 W · 4 L+6.2wins+0.29per pick52cpaid+55.4%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xe501…5c4fbacked Over53c5,805$3,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,728.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+33.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over53c4,024$2,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,905.5377751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed Over53c3,931$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,860.771729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-41.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over53c3,500$1,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6455054%27 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over54c2,872$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.1325149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over53c2,500$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1755251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Over53c2,148$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.564949%24 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Over53c1,788$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.369457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70519657.1%112 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed Over53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7051060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Over53c1,275$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.2511055.5%61 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4908661.6%53 W · 33 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over53c849.06$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.069151.6%47 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over53c747.77$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.67150.7%36 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over68c708.5$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.0939567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over51c700$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3436155.7%34 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over55c699.97$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.997668.4%52 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over53c603.77$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.774459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over53c564$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.0820648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Over53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2354456.8%25 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2353655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over53c470$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.94656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over54c462$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.523641.7%15 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over53c385.2$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.6513950.4%70 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x782c…2445backed Over52c365.38$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.38560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over53c350$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.55257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over53c250$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.58653.5%46 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over53c250$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.54961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over53c250$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.55152.9%27 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over54c201.49$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6658043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked Over53c188$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.36944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over57c180$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.424351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4410562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over53c175$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.255651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over53c165.01$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5539234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over53c160$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.25556.4%31 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.54459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf715…bbf0backed Over51c149$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.01837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick24cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over53c141.51$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.513243.8%14 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over53c140$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.85152.9%27 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over53c140$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.85046%23 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Over52c135$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over53c131.92$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622045%9 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over53c125$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.753759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over53c125$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7513557.8%78 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Over53c122.77$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.74447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.44755.3%26 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.45154.9%28 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.44951%25 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.420154.2%109 W · 92 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Over53c119.44$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.142166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7583…0469backed Over53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.21560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Over65c109.08$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.184168.3%28 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over53c109$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.236256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under43c103.51$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5168550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475451.9%28 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475056%28 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474854.2%26 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474755.3%26 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475149%25 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+51.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd754…7857backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475653.6%30 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under31c97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.071,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over52c86.6$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.471,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Under44c74.14$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.991241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Over53c70$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.91861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over54c66.5$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.412849.2%63 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked Over53c62.5$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.372458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over57c61.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.416744.3%74 W · 93 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over53c61.18$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.756555.4%36 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Over53c61$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.671060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.110255.9%57 W · 45 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over53c55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.855354.7%29 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over53c54.5$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.614955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9401…38cbbacked Over53c51.58$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.24875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+44.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72bc…b24ebacked Over53c51$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.971376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+31.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Over52c51$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.482445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.53966.7%26 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over53c47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.098942.7%38 W · 51 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.