TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-03-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,497

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,497 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Yes63c31,039$19,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,696.555046%23 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb57c…044abacked Yes0c23,130$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.13520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-74%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked No37c6,529$2,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,113.484845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No37c6,486$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,086.4917049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4922…34a7backed Yes0c6,083$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.35819%11 W · 47 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-51.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No36c3,500$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,239.995259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No36c2,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6002263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No67c2,378$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.448,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes67c2,194$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470.1530841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b05…434ebacked No35c1,605$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked No36c1,505$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.2785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+59.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed No37c1,120$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.627143.7%31 W · 40 L-7.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes1c1,028$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1139127.1%106 W · 285 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No36c958.79$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.581,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes33c657.55$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.921,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No36c620.3$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.863,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No38c577$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.746055%33 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes9c507$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6710819.4%21 W · 87 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-35.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3204656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc73b…c3e9backed Yes4c453.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.693250%16 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-18.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes21c451.58$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.921,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No36c400$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2564153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes62c318$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.1617143.9%75 W · 96 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9d2…090fbacked No72c277.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.733167.7%21 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No35c276.99$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.3713545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed No37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.274261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No38c270$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.567548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No36c268$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.8623354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes62c250$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes62c250$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3541…78debacked No73c235.4$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.651968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No36c225$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1445160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No38c210.4$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.5323542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed No34c203.79$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.52842.9%12 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No34c180$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.855155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No37c156.18$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9627053%143 W · 127 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e74…93bcbacked Yes66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002676.9%20 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No36c150$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9619460.3%117 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No36c150$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No36c150$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965752.6%30 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No38c150$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9331226.6%83 W · 229 L+1.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No36c150$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9611459.6%68 W · 46 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No36c150$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9612761.4%78 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes64c137.3$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.922,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No36c125$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No78c116.57$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.161,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No36c115$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.67856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked No37c114.57$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.181030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No72c101$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1310058%58 W · 42 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646558.5%38 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked No36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6417960.3%108 W · 71 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Yes63c99.36$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1617066.5%113 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No36c90$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.63857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No36c90$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.67055.7%39 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x806b…5cd8backed Yes67c89.55$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes67c85.7$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4228231.6%89 W · 193 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked No76c85.01$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.982450%12 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No36c83.34$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.347745.5%35 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No36c75$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4813557%77 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No74c68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6899259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3c95…9078backed No37c65.95$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.55580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+43.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x631c…7bfebacked No34c62.95$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.814418.2%8 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No36c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.43959%23 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No36c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.45250%26 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No36c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.46453.1%34 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No36c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.45151%26 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No36c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.45350.9%27 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No36c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.45556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No36c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.46162.3%38 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No36c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.43759.5%22 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No36c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.45453.7%29 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No36c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.46962.3%43 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No36c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.45560%33 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207032.9%23 W · 47 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No40c58.79$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2732936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes35c57.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.141,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x452f…b277backed Yes67c55.97$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.511637.1%43 W · 73 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3217950.8%91 W · 88 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327153.5%38 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb226…4469backed No35c48.71$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.665754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x445c…c4f1backed Yes66c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.44959.2%29 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No79c37.9$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.961,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Yes67c37.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259344.1%41 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No36c37.25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8481740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes34c32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8811334.5%39 W · 74 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed No38c31.82$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.83728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-38.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a5d…e11dbacked Yes63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No34c31.72$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9421345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3047…f1edbacked Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No34c31.1$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.537950.6%40 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed No36c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.24163.4%26 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed No36c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.26656.1%37 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0466…b3a5backed Yes67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bad…1d19backed No36c29.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.94450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…08bbbacked Yes62c29.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.162737%10 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes67c23.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6549535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9da…ed70backed Yes61c22.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7621266.5%141 W · 71 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes62c21.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.529956.6%56 W · 43 L+12.3wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.