Other European Leagues · resolved market
NAC Breda vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x031041978ac7bfdd902a24cec4f3a6a9c1ebd7c6661e8f2f215360bec2d35aab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 47c | 2,367$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.38 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Over | 53c | 2,353$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x458c…ee3ebacked Over | 52c | 960.72$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 57c | 877.84$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 753.58$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.61 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 49c | 731.38$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Under | 49c | 606.42$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.42 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 29c | 563.96$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.81 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23c…33f1backed Under | 49c | 505.88$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 47c | 425.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.51 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 43c | 313.67$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.14 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 53c | 247.5$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.91 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b3cbacked Over | 12c | 204.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 52c | 193.71$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.15 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 191.04$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.93 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 65c | 188.45$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 52c | 184$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 48c | 184$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.68 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 38c | 176.32$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 52c | 170.6$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.63 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 48c | 159$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.72 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 155.98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.52 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 53c | 149.72$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.35 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb4…98e9backed Over | 34c | 132.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 49c | 130$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.1 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 43c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 67c | 75.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 47c | 74.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 56c | 71.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 48c | 70.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb7…a4b4backed Over | 58c | 69.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 44c | 65.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 56c | 65.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Over | 53c | 53.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 19c | 51.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 64c | 48.04$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed Over | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bae…e81ebacked Under | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 63c | 38.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 30c | 36.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 37c | 35.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5409…b663backed Over | 52c | 34.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked Under | 63c | 34.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Under | 43c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Under | 62c | 30.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167b…6075backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36de…ea85backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf178…e750backed Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9989…1093backed Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 56c | 24.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffdb…2958backed Over | 54c | 24.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d59…6b19backed Under | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…7ea4backed Under | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x808d…ade8backed Over | 54c | 21.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa715…5046backed Over | 54c | 21.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 76c | 20.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 76c | 20.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…c519backed Over | 54c | 20.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d4…7dcdbacked Over | 54c | 19.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c0…fb27backed Over | 54c | 19.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x862b…6f54backed Over | 54c | 19.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5365…d694backed Over | 54c | 19.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…7066backed Over | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c11…dc67backed Over | 54c | 18.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 73c | 15.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 78c | 12.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.81 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NAC Breda vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 2.5this page
- NAC Breda vs. Sparta Rotterdam: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- NAC Breda vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 1.5Under won
- NAC Breda vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 3.5Under won
- NAC Breda vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: NAC Breda (-1.5)Sparta Rotterdam won
- Spread: Sparta Rotterdam (-2.5)NAC Breda won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.