Other European Leagues · resolved market
NAC Breda vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87fd716e6d1913bc99dbb547f40a4a21f0fdf3716ceaa011e6b865208d6b45ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 62c | 10,687$6,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,009.66 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Over | 37c | 9,999$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.63 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +239.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 17c | 5,880$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 78c | 4,581$3,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.24 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 22c | 2,453$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.25 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 976.73$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.61 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 78c | 543.61$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.02 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 447.68$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.05 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 46c | 416.67$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.67 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29db…1c1abacked Over | 39c | 345.63$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 60c | 275.13$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.42 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…c06abacked Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 22c | 228.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 174.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.41 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…fceebacked Over | 47c | 170.46$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.22 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Over | 78c | 163.08$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 43c | 160$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 66c | 150.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 142.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.43 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 79c | 135$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.65 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 104.15$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 78c | 99.23$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 78c | 99.23$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 78c | 99.23$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 78c | 99.23$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 78c | 99.23$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 78c | 99.23$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 78c | 97.77$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.26 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 78c | 92.65$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.27 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 52c | 91.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 38c | 84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 78c | 79.38$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…67bebacked Under | 65c | 74.05$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Over | 38c | 70.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 20c | 65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Over | 80c | 60$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 78c | 58.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36de…ea85backed Over | 41c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ee…0ad8backed Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 78c | 48.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 47c | 43.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over | 59c | 42.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…c6bdbacked Under | 62c | 37.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 66c | 34.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9da…f7d9backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 78c | 31.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 78c | 31.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over | 78c | 31.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…37e6backed Over | 78c | 31.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 62c | 25.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 77c | 24.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 71c | 23.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 77c | 21.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 61c | 21.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over | 71c | 19.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed Under | 77c | 19.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NAC Breda vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 1.5this page
- NAC Breda vs. Sparta Rotterdam: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- NAC Breda vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 2.5Under won
- NAC Breda vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 3.5Under won
- NAC Breda vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: NAC Breda (-1.5)Sparta Rotterdam won
- Spread: Sparta Rotterdam (-2.5)NAC Breda won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.