Other European Leagues · resolved market
IK Start vs. Molde FK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde7214c11d107878e46a8ca817870360a808b20d4d0d091c2ec32360179f233e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Over | 59c | 5,863$3,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,436.18 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 2,776$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.8 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 44c | 1,463$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.99 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Under | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 41c | 540.1$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.66 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 382.1$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.23 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…99febacked Over | 51c | 245.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…b8d5backed Under | 45c | 212$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c01…9871backed Over | 55c | 209.94$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 42c | 202.17$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.31 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785d…0956backed Under | 45c | 202$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aaf…d0f5backed Over | 55c | 201.06$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca7…5ea3backed Over | 55c | 199.42$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a73…284fbacked Under | 45c | 199$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079b…184abacked Over | 55c | 194.58$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635f…20a2backed Under | 45c | 192$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 143.6$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.17 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 41c | 133.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.48 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 106.04$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 41c | 106$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 57c | 102.88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 41c | 99.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 55c | 91.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 62.4%83 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 59c | 88.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 51c | 84.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 49c | 84.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Over | 54c | 84.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 63c | 38.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 42c | 26.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 67c | 22.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IK Start vs. Molde FK: O/U 2.5this page
- IK Start vs. Molde FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- IK Start vs. Molde FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- IK Start vs. Molde FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- IK Start vs. Molde FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: IK Start (-2.5)Molde FK won
- Spread: Molde FK (-1.5)IK Start won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.