Asian League · resolved market

Beijing Guoan FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf49afb15ba1c385a115600270a61931e95fb7586adad1e99570e3d61c5aeacfd

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $76,789
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $76,669

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,789 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Asian League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4d30…a42dbacked Over	61c	53,672$32,776 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,896.63	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under	53c	12,830$6,773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,772.64	182	57.1%104 W · 78 L	-7.1wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	39c	6,589$2,565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,565.3	1,254	51.4%644 W · 610 L	+9.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under	39c	5,722$2,219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,219.1	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	39c	4,873$1,915 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,914.74	1,796	50.2%902 W · 894 L	+30.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	47c	4,572$2,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,422.17	2,566	42.1%1,081 W · 1,485 L	+52.1wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under	38c	4,049$1,538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,538.5	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.21per pick	48cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	41c	3,549$1,454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,453.73	6,028	46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L	+50.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa0e…718cbacked Under	38c	3,314$1,259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,259.32	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under	39c	2,564$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.96	404	48%194 W · 210 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	45c	2,011$909 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,101.82	968	46.1%446 W · 522 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Under	38c	2,000$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$769.99	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.7wins	+0.29per pick	54cpaid	+61.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under	39c	1,110$427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.35	142	47.2%67 W · 75 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over	61c	1,048$635 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$412.35	1,098	43.8%481 W · 617 L	-14.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under	38c	1,043$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.66	401	56.4%226 W · 175 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under	41c	1,000$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	125	52.8%66 W · 59 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under	39c	640.59$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.81	167	59.9%100 W · 67 L	+8.0wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under	39c	608.24$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.43	145	57.2%83 W · 62 L	+6.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under	38c	600$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228	150	36.7%55 W · 95 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under	39c	594.9$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.63	116	54.3%63 W · 53 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under	39c	592.68$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.65	153	58.8%90 W · 63 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under	39c	592.68$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.65	101	60.4%61 W · 40 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under	39c	587.94$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.82	390	58.2%227 W · 163 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	42c	523.67$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.76	1,143	46.5%531 W · 612 L	-4.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under	39c	517.23$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.98	345	58.6%202 W · 143 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under	38c	500$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	126	49.2%62 W · 64 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	42c	500$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	937	46%431 W · 506 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	42c	500$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	1,656	50.8%841 W · 815 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over	27c	442.4$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$322.4	218	30.7%67 W · 151 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under	39c	364.62$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.5	190	55.3%105 W · 85 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Under	39c	359.52$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.46	73	56.2%41 W · 32 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Under	44c	357.41$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under	38c	350.16$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.79	226	56.6%128 W · 98 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under	38c	340.71$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.42	163	56.4%92 W · 71 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under	38c	340.71$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.42	68	47.1%32 W · 36 L	-6.9wins	-0.10per pick	57cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Over	58c	300$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126	219	41.6%91 W · 128 L	-17.3wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under	42c	300$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	235	46.8%110 W · 125 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Under	39c	297.86$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.17	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under	39c	279.23$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.54	95	52.6%50 W · 45 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under	39c	279.23$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.54	98	59.2%58 W · 40 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under	39c	279.23$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.54	284	53.2%151 W · 133 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under	39c	279.23$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.54	74	66.2%49 W · 25 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under	39c	268.53$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.4	198	56.1%111 W · 87 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under	38c	260.61$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	478	60.3%288 W · 190 L	+15.2wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x659f…04e4backed Under	39c	247.23$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.42	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	40c	230$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.83	165	54.5%90 W · 75 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	40c	180.76$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.66	301	49.5%149 W · 152 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under	37c	180$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.6	184	46.2%85 W · 99 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…9d5cbacked Under	38c	163.31$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.83	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+58.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over	63c	158.73$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.73	174	40.2%70 W · 104 L	-12.3wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	45c	146.07$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.93	1,357	45.5%617 W · 740 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under	40c	142$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.24	59	49.2%29 W · 30 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under	41c	139.9$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.36	94	58.5%55 W · 39 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over	38c	138.79$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.78	375	52%195 W · 180 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Under	39c	128.51$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.99	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under	39c	128.21$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	325	60.3%196 W · 129 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x56af…4be6backed Under	39c	128.21$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under	40c	126.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	246	56.9%140 W · 106 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	74c	123.39$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.22	1,529	54.9%840 W · 689 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under	38c	105$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.9	155	49%76 W · 79 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over	44c	100$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56	297	45.1%134 W · 163 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf245…746bbacked Over	60c	100$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-3.2wins	-0.11per pick	59cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4e4…d947backed Under	41c	97.28$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.51	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under	36c	97.21$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	40c	95$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.82	2,036	54.2%1,104 W · 932 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4049…d92abacked Under	41c	82.56$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.85	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over	61c	81.97$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.97	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.29per pick	43cpaid	+90.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked Under	39c	80.85$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.52	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over	63c	79.37$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.37	114	58.8%67 W · 47 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Under	50c	76.59$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	257	42%108 W · 149 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under	59c	71.84$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.39	141	49.6%70 W · 71 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under	39c	70$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.3	117	64.1%75 W · 42 L	+11.7wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over	29c	69.66$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.66	387	37.5%145 W · 242 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed Under	40c	66.59$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.64	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Under	40c	63.26$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	71	56.3%40 W · 31 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over	40c	62.69$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.71	706	52.3%369 W · 337 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1e…522fbacked Under	38c	58.28$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.15	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under	41c	57.85$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.62	98	60.2%59 W · 39 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Under	41c	51.42$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.08	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Under	39c	51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.7	33	75.8%25 W · 8 L	+4.6wins	+0.14per pick	62cpaid	+29%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe363…c894backed Under	41c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5926…a9debacked Under	37c	49.86$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.45	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.18per pick	47cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4167…f99abacked Under	43c	49$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.07	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+32.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79f4…df03backed Under	40c	45$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b3a…e4f4backed Under	41c	40.88$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.76	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under	39c	38.95$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.12	51	51%26 W · 25 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Under	41c	35$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.26	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Under	41c	35$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.26	53	73.6%39 W · 14 L	+6.7wins	+0.13per pick	61cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x66e8…c0e2backed Under	42c	32.5$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.65	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+2.3wins	+0.17per pick	55cpaid	+26%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under	40c	30.94$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.41	72	63.9%46 W · 26 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Under	38c	30.9$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.74	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Over	50c	30.16$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.08	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	59cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed Under	40c	29.4$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	135	63.7%86 W · 49 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	68cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Over	37c	28.64$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.14	51	62.7%32 W · 19 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under	39c	28.28$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.15	25	68%17 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	65cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7770…f99bbacked Under	37c	27.16$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.05	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15e9…95babacked Under	40c	26.55$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.62	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6793…1869backed Under	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8943…6c65backed Over	51c	24.9$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.32	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.8wins	+0.18per pick	52cpaid	+39.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e9b…964fbacked Over	64c	23.91$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.61	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Beijing Guoan FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5this page
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Beijing Guoan FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Beijing Guoan FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event