Premier League · resolved market
Coventry City FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7942668c206f0be61bd4568402aadc1651f12631ad84b8492f2b4713c4896668
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,011
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,011 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 56c | 2,008$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.49 | 878 | 48.3%424 W · 454 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Under | 44c | 1,248$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 938.34$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.51 | 6,225 | 45.6%2,836 W · 3,389 L | -34.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Over | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e5…8b41backed Under | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 57c | 220$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 41c | 212.7$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.08 | 2,613 | 47.6%1,245 W · 1,368 L | +42.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 38c | 191.36$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 4,892 | 41.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L | +25.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 968 | 43.8%424 W · 544 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 44c | 108.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Over | 57c | 100.21$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 58c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 562 | 55.2%310 W · 252 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 41c | 66.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 1,713 | 52.8%905 W · 808 L | +31.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 62.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 42c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 44c | 39.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 760 | 50%380 W · 380 L | +20.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 72c | 38.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 831 | 63.1%524 W · 307 L | +113.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 45c | 35.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a4…c9a6backed Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dac…d1aebacked Over | 57c | 28.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…81c5backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…ae93backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 65c | 17.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 196 | 56.1%110 W · 86 L | +21.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Coventry City FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Coventry City FC vs. Preston North End FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Coventry City FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Coventry City FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Coventry City FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)Coventry City FC won
- Spread: Preston North End FC (-1.5)Coventry City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.