Premier League · resolved market
Coventry City FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bca3dfc3c1ad94b6dd66ee29bbd210b800658ceeeb380ded828d0395c89b854
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,324 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 2,480$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.03 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 1,473$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.96 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 31c | 966.99$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.25 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 68c | 540.19$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.19 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Under | 69c | 378.86$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.86 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Over | 36c | 313.97$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.03 | 101 | 12.9%13 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 31c | 180$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 38c | 141.49$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 32c | 126.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 38c | 125$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 43c | 65.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 64c | 63.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 55c | 61.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 36c | 56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Under | 64c | 39.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 65c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Under | 77c | 28.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…0781backed Under | 62c | 24.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…ae93backed Under | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…7759backed Under | 64c | 21.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…f856backed Over | 54c | 20.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -6.1wins | -0.32per pick | 53cpaid | -70%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Coventry City FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Coventry City FC vs. Preston North End FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Coventry City FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Coventry City FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Coventry City FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)Coventry City FC won
- Spread: Preston North End FC (-1.5)Coventry City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.