Mls · resolved market
Chicago Fire FC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82341fb81211fe8ff734d0836e15fab623239c6965193476b80b79a0110e8915
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 51c | 21,175$10,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,822.67 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed Under | 52c | 7,879$4,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,096.92 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 49c | 6,151$3,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,137.15 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece6…c4bfbacked Over | 49c | 5,268$2,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,686.68 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…f939backed Under | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Over | 45c | 3,410$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.59 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ab…13a1backed Over | 49c | 2,928$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Over | 49c | 2,237$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.87 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Over | 48c | 1,985$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.2 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…b655backed Over | 49c | 1,971$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 55c | 1,729$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.14 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c49…03d0backed Over | 49c | 1,465$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 44c | 1,181$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.67 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 48c | 1,168$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.45 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Over | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Over | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 48c | 500.95$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.49 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 47c | 498.16$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.84 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 48c | 450$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 55c | 441$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.55 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Over | 48c | 437.5$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 56c | 413.64$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.57 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 54c | 363.8$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.09 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 45c | 277$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.35 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 48c | 260$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 48c | 260$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 55c | 226.75$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.56 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 48c | 208$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 48c | 180$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 48c | 160$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Over | 48c | 160$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over | 48c | 160$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 60c | 141.65$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.52 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 46c | 123$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed Under | 52c | 122.16$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 51c | 119.4$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 65c | 112$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 42c | 110$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 54c | 104.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 24c | 99.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 51c | 93.74$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 55c | 65.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 53c | 63.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 58c | 63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 45c | 52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 46c | 51.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 44c | 51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +12.0wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +83%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 46c | 48.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0339…1394backed Over | 48c | 46.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Under | 39c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked Under | 54c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +16.4wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 51c | 31.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +10.7wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7a67…6ddebacked Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +170.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa684…ca71backed Over | 49c | 26.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…2d10backed Over | 45c | 26.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 24.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 55c | 22.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 21.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed Under | 52c | 20.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Fire FC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 3.5this page
- Chicago Fire FC vs. FC Cincinnati: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chicago Fire FC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chicago Fire FC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 2.5Over won
- Chicago Fire FC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Fire FC (-2.5)FC Cincinnati won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.