Premier League · resolved market
Birmingham City FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x108f6daa16356ea3f5374e5edbdca3f9a42acf3479c342956cbc7f5a05b4e3b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 47c | 899.97$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.99 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 53c | 566.31$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.08 | 584 | 46.1%269 W · 315 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 556.92$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.68 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 47c | 496.74$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…00f4backed Over | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 54c | 320.53$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.44 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Over | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 152.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.6 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Over | 52c | 97.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 91.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 56c | 84.42$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 46c | 79.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 696 | 51.1%356 W · 340 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 52c | 59.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 57.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 317 | 46.1%146 W · 171 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Under | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Over | 53c | 23.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 48c | 22.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 50c | 20.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Birmingham City FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Birmingham City FC vs. Preston North End FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.