Mls · resolved market
Will New York City FC win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58258f364d4c98c5d8d5918dcc7439eb8310eb758de0f021b134c99f73c62d8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $306,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $307,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b71…afd3backed No | 46c | 175,895$81,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,273.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes | 56c | 107,498$59,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,899.03 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 53c | 29,359$15,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,574.76 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 44c | 23,992$10,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,435.52 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 53c | 20,090$10,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,719.56 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Yes | 60c | 12,786$7,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,692 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.43per pick | 53cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 53c | 11,500$6,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,120 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed No | 44c | 5,126$2,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,866.26 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 54c | 4,042$2,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.68 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 39c | 3,423$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.36 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 59c | 3,307$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.69 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 50c | 3,182$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.32 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 58c | 3,038$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.1 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 53c | 2,829$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.37 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 44c | 2,303$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.93 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 44c | 2,274$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.61 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked No | 46c | 1,803$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.16 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Yes | 53c | 1,737$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 54c | 1,446$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.85 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed No | 46c | 1,430$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.24 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 54c | 1,389$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 64c | 1,346$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.52 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 44c | 1,137$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.25 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 53c | 1,105$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.47 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 53c | 966.07$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.33 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed No | 44c | 924.5$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.72 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed No | 44c | 900$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 44c | 836.5$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.83 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 49c | 795.19$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.55 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed No | 44c | 767.25$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 44c | 670.86$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.8 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 42c | 657.68$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.46 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 40c | 637$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.2 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 54c | 577.99$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.19 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed No | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 61cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Yes | 54c | 548.11$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.08 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes | 52c | 520$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.8 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 40c | 496.3$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.05 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 57c | 495$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.15 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 51c | 489.12$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.61 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 45c | 455.56$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.56 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 53c | 439.3$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.12 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 42c | 417.8$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.32 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes | 51c | 401$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.16 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.25 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 53c | 305$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.6 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 42c | 302.82$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.64 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked No | 44c | 302.64$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.85 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Yes | 66c | 300.22$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Yes | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yes | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 76 | 68.4%52 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked No | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 67c | 299.98$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.99 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 39c | 294.74$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.74 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 45c | 278.33$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.08 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 44c | 278.28$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.07 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 39c | 250$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Yes | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 40c | 248.34$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.23 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 44c | 241$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.96 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 44c | 229.59$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 44c | 228.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.16 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 44c | 217.03$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.78 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed No | 44c | 205.74$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.1 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 53c | 188.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 103 | 19.4%20 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed No | 42c | 185.17$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 40c | 180$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 10c | 179.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.44 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…8a16backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 61c | 171.93$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.69 | 126 | 67.5%85 W · 41 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 44c | 171.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…1455backed Yes | 47c | 168.72$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 39c | 168.61$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.1 | 85 | 68.2%58 W · 27 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 44c | 166.71$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.52 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 44c | 165.06$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.43 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 60c | 161$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.15 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x353c…b793backed Yes | 44c | 159.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 53c | 158$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.74 | 206 | 41.3%85 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 35c | 156.52$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.31 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 55c | 152.18$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.61 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 44c | 152.11$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.55 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.94 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 44c | 147.41$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.55 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…7b27backed No | 44c | 141.51$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.14 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 53c | 135$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.87 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed No | 44c | 134.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.54 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 57c | 129.91$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.61 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yes | 56c | 128.75$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed No | 44c | 128.56$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.94 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New York City FC win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will New York City FC vs. St. Louis City SC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.