Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 139.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb80fe2875ad9f4348bc377a7e0381ee6c4a8d4d6be7499352461f790877e8ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,931 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 48c | 20,603$9,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,889.34 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under | 52c | 14,871$7,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,138.1 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Under | 52c | 4,461$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.13 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 1,538$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.29 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Under | 52c | 953.23$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.6 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 46c | 943.38$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.66 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…81ecbacked Over | 49c | 693.88$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 682.57$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.68 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Over | 48c | 662$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.76 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 51c | 259.63$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.22 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 49c | 257.36$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.11 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffd…41d1backed Under | 52c | 190.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf982…273cbacked Under | 52c | 162.03$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 160.55$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.12 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…c3ffbacked Under | 52c | 142.97$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.63 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 47c | 95.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed Over | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 73c | 39.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 45c | 29.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Under | 58c | 28.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 139.5this page
- Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-10.5)Nebraska Cornhuskers won
- Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-12.5)Nebraska Cornhuskers won
- Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-13.5)Nebraska Cornhuskers won
- Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska CornhuskersNebraska Cornhuskers won
- Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 135.5Under won
- Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 136.5Under won
- Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 137.5Under won
- Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 138.5Under won
- Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 140.5Under won
- Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 141.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.