MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96611a4165c0e920c0f01dd14e16370ae65d334e26b7ac42376fa72b63049c15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 54c | 30,000$16,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,300 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Over | 46c | 21,724$9,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,730.74 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 47c | 7,883$3,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,723.25 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 45c | 7,715$3,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,221.33 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 45c | 5,193$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856.14 | 849 | 49.1%417 W · 432 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Under | 55c | 4,900$2,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,694.97 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 50c | 2,354$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.63 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 8c | 2,087$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.41 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 1,781$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.89 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 11c | 1,603$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.16 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cac…1744backed Under | 37c | 1,536$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 53c | 1,408$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.02 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 54c | 1,087$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.98 | 686 | 52.9%363 W · 323 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 52c | 973.09$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.26 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Over | 55c | 949.16$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.12 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 53c | 774.27$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.37 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 54c | 757.14$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.62 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 53c | 677.91$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.95 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 50c | 595.27$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.64 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 512.22$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.43 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 51c | 511$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.34 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 45c | 502.29$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.26 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 47c | 471.51$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.9 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 59c | 454.08$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.4 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Over | 47c | 307.19$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.81 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf93…5d2abacked Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 51c | 294$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.06 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…abc9backed Over | 47c | 251.04$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.05 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +36%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x25c1…7e8ebacked Over | 47c | 234.04$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.04 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…3accbacked Over | 47c | 212.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.69 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 210.83$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.95 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 7c | 203$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 573 | 46.9%269 W · 304 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 49c | 201.24$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.63 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 56c | 180$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 63c | 180$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 55c | 179.87$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.93 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Under | 55c | 163.64$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 230 | 51.7%119 W · 111 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 57c | 160.25$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Under | 27c | 159.68$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 53c | 146.28$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.3 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 44c | 144.85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…5338backed Over | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 26c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 264 | 38.3%101 W · 163 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 52c | 109.83$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95fa…bf35backed Over | 47c | 106.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.37 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Over | 47c | 106$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +14.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 57c | 102.07$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 1,040 | 51.8%539 W · 501 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ec…6452backed Over | 46c | 101.87$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.01 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 785 | 50.2%394 W · 391 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 50c | 99.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 45c | 87.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.39 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Over | 47c | 85.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 53c | 82.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 47c | 82.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe046…9bc6backed Over | 57c | 82.51$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 451 | 49.2%222 W · 229 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 53c | 79.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Over | 76c | 71.42$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Over | 75c | 66.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 247 | 42.9%106 W · 141 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3afb…0004backed Over | 47c | 62.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 46c | 61.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Under | 54c | 55.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 54c | 54.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1026…e794backed Over | 56c | 50.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…a4d5backed Over | 56c | 50.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0e…704abacked Over | 56c | 50.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…0adfbacked Over | 56c | 50.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 676 | 53.1%359 W · 317 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de2…d0e5backed Under | 27c | 48.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 102 | 8.8%9 W · 93 L | -31.9wins | -0.31per pick | 40cpaid | -82%equal weight | 22-0.25 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 60c | 47.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 54c | 46.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 54c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fc…69a1backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…75dcbacked Over | 57c | 40.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 383 | 42%161 W · 222 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 49c | 39.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…e409backed Over | 53c | 37.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e23…94b2backed Over | 45c | 35.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 62c | 33.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 52c | 33.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdd…8271backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +6.9wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Over | 79c | 29.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…359dbacked Over | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…549dbacked Over | 57c | 26.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Over | 68c | 25.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5this page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee BrewersSan Francisco Giants won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 11.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 12.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 13.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 14.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 17.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 18.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 19.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-5.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee BrewersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.