MLB · resolved market

San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78f217a68de7b062afae8975d17784c52080b1e9240d33889865cdf4d2cf17d7

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $164,026
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $166,320

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,026 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Over	47c	100,000$46,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53,399.99	411	49.1%202 W · 209 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	53c	71,066$37,953 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,953.19	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under	53c	46,338$24,559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,558.89	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under	53c	20,000$10,677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,677.09	2,291	52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L	+24.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over	48c	20,000$9,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,399.98	604	51%308 W · 296 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over	46c	6,554$2,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,554.7	750	49.7%373 W · 377 L	+7.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over	46c	5,555$2,555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,999.69	479	53.2%255 W · 224 L	+18.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	54c	4,025$2,179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,845.99	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Under	54c	3,704$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	390	47.4%185 W · 205 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	45c	3,527$1,587 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,939.71	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Under	52c	3,330$1,732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,731.6	82	47.6%39 W · 43 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over	47c	2,742$1,283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,458.71	1,056	48.3%510 W · 546 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under	45c	2,695$1,219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,219.47	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	47c	2,600$1,224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,376.37	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under	46c	2,187$1,015 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,014.8	1,106	48.7%539 W · 567 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Over	47c	2,128$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,127.66	891	53.5%477 W · 414 L	+24.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over	48c	1,500$720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$780	444	51.1%227 W · 217 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	56c	1,050$589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$461	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under	48c	1,018$489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.8	1,215	47.6%578 W · 637 L	-19.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under	53c	1,000$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530	859	52.6%452 W · 407 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over	48c	923.09$443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.01	281	54.4%153 W · 128 L	+9.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over	48c	776.86$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$406.73	241	50.6%122 W · 119 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under	53c	661$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.33	272	49.3%134 W · 138 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over	48c	660.35$319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$341.74	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under	53c	543.94$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.81	890	53.1%473 W · 417 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Under	54c	462.96$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	384	55.2%212 W · 172 L	+9.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under	52c	301.73$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.9	403	41.4%167 W · 236 L	-20.0wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	53c	300$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.5	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over	49c	290.29$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.99	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	52c	287.6$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.55	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	52c	240$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.8	1,521	48.6%739 W · 782 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1631…072dbacked Over	44c	231.3$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.62	773	53.9%417 W · 356 L	+35.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Over	48c	208.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.33	534	48.9%261 W · 273 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Under	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,000	52.4%524 W · 476 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	53c	170.8$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.96	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Over	45c	166.67$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.67	399	48.1%192 W · 207 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed4e…916fbacked Over	48c	150$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78	84	50%42 W · 42 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfde0…c21cbacked Over	47c	142.53$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.54	62	38.7%24 W · 38 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over	47c	140$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.2	1,062	49.2%523 W · 539 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Over	49c	129.59$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.09	395	53.7%212 W · 183 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	47c	128.23$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.96	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over	43c	102.2$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.25	5,127	54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L	+232.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Under	52c	101.92$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	129	39.5%51 W · 78 L	-11.1wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfce6…ba8bbacked Over	47c	79.77$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.28	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e23…94b2backed Under	53c	69.99$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.75	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-3.1wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2342…12d6backed Over	47c	64.34$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.1	138	53.6%74 W · 64 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over	48c	62.28$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.46	2,947	51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L	-34.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under	54c	60$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.4	416	37.5%156 W · 260 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over	47c	58.83$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.18	1,001	48.3%483 W · 518 L	-15.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x369e…d016backed Under	55c	50.91$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	115	60.9%70 W · 45 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Over	47c	50.33$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.67	556	43.9%244 W · 312 L	-38.6wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over	47c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.5	1,279	51.2%655 W · 624 L	-19.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over	47c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.5	2,376	49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over	47c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.5	1,498	45.3%678 W · 820 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f53…d5abbacked Under	53c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5587…5737backed Over	53c	46.7$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.95	99	51.5%51 W · 48 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab4…5a40backed Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	162	51.9%84 W · 78 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under	52c	40$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	258	50.4%130 W · 128 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Over	55c	39.74$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.88	880	46.4%408 W · 472 L	-22.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under	52c	38.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.24	2,945	47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Under	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	254	48.4%123 W · 131 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	47c	37.34$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.79	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over	45c	33.33$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.33	313	43.5%136 W · 177 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1f…4a48backed Over	47c	31.47$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.68	130	56.2%73 W · 57 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e08…cae4backed Under	35c	30$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.39	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-4.1wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x517a…6491backed Under	52c	27.78$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.45	93	54.8%51 W · 42 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Under	52c	26.02$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.53	125	41.6%52 W · 73 L	-13.5wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under	53c	25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.25	465	57.2%266 W · 199 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Over	48c	24.17$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.57	597	49.9%298 W · 299 L	+19.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Under	52c	20.07$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.44	83	51.8%43 W · 40 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Under	52c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	237	50.6%120 W · 117 L	-11.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x450a…0712backed Over	58c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.4	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05bc…f3ebbacked Over	53c	19.92$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.36	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5this page
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers won
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Over won
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 11.5Over won
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 12.5Over won
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 13.5Over won
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 4.5Over won
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5Over won
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Over won
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Over won
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-5.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee BrewersNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event