Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. TCU Horned Frogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x113028dba015d5b56b81c4bf93863f2307e0a85042b2bfa6e0bc4e9342c9189c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Notre Dame Fighting Irishof Notre Dame Fighting Irish, TCU Horned Frogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 36c | 13,200$4,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400.53 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 46c | 5,168$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.49 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 52c | 3,498$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.72 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed TCU Horned Frogs | 62c | 2,832$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.14 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd475…3327backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 76c | 2,616$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked TCU Horned Frogs | 47c | 2,211$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.52 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed TCU Horned Frogs | 66c | 1,906$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.08 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed TCU Horned Frogs | 47c | 1,858$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.24 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 73c | 1,540$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.5 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 50c | 1,323$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.4 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 62c | 1,297$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.86 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 51c | 1,183$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed TCU Horned Frogs | 64c | 1,142$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.04 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 41c | 873.09$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.98 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 10c | 821.7$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.85 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 54c | 777.37$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.59 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 41c | 694.66$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.86 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…3f97backed TCU Horned Frogs | 7c | 583.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed TCU Horned Frogs | 62c | 523.04$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.49 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 79c | 484$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.64 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 27c | 452$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.96 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed TCU Horned Frogs | 63c | 435.71$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.32 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.85 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4080…8b41backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 75c | 218.67$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ff…4303backed TCU Horned Frogs | 53c | 206.42$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 26c | 200.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.67 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 23c | 140.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.55 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 27c | 135$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.09 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 73c | 133.95$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.27 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f6…eafebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 62c | 129.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 61c | 119$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked TCU Horned Frogs | 75c | 104$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.48 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed TCU Horned Frogs | 73c | 103.95$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.76 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed TCU Horned Frogs | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed TCU Horned Frogs | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 26c | 77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed TCU Horned Frogs | 62c | 61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.35per pick | 44cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c2…4fd5backed TCU Horned Frogs | 61c | 33.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3659…1c2dbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 79c | 26.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 46c | 22.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed TCU Horned Frogs | 74c | 21.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…02dbbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0424…95ddbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.