Olympics · resolved market
Will Sha’Carri Richardson (USA) win gold in 100m W?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fe11bfea8cfe523d8c384b5f7b14440e461c784d9672bf469032b49ae383a57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 80c | 9,238$7,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.47 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…c7bfbacked Yes | 7c | 4,569$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.84 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 70c | 4,136$2,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5230…58f5backed Yes | 3c | 4,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 32c | 3,946$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,697.01 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 30c | 1,530$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc13…5e09backed Yes | 69c | 1,087$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…741bbacked Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2efc…5686backed Yes | 71c | 545.71$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed No | 31c | 499.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +159.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…3873backed Yes | 69c | 486.95$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb363…4c60backed Yes | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c2…0a62backed Yes | 70c | 385.2$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.64 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked No | 28c | 383.89$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.4 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Yes | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…8d3fbacked Yes | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b2…8592backed Yes | 73c | 277.55$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbe…5f66backed Yes | 73c | 261.1$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked No | 28c | 252.04$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.47 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 69c | 235$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.1 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 57c | 200.76$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…552fbacked No | 35c | 187.14$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.24 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…10fdbacked No | 57c | 167.55$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b7…3873backed Yes | 62c | 160.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 65c | 160$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 71c | 150$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce3…9236backed Yes | 69c | 143.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…7fe1backed No | 36c | 124.06$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Yes | 70c | 120.03$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.02 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd44…6565backed Yes | 62c | 104.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…fc4cbacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +60%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…79f1backed Yes | 71c | 98.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a35…4405backed Yes | 72c | 96.35$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed No | 35c | 94.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…9dfebacked Yes | 65c | 94.29$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed No | 28c | 82.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4268…43e5backed No | 31c | 76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Yes | 72c | 75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb956…c475backed Yes | 69c | 72.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yes | 72c | 70.83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…9748backed Yes | 70c | 53.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb236…1d5dbacked No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +69%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84c…eb46backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61b3…abdcbacked Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x060b…1613backed Yes | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a51…4fcebacked Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…642abacked Yes | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b2…4ae3backed Yes | 70c | 39.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c5…ca4dbacked Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b8…da98backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8016…9894backed Yes | 70c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sha’Carri Richardson (USA) win gold in 100m W?this page
- Will Julien Alfred (LCA) win gold in 100m W?Yes won
- Will Marie-Josee Ta Lou (CIV) win gold in 100m W?No won
- Will Shelly-Ann Fraser-Pryce (JAM) win gold in 100m W?No won
- Will another athlete win Gold in 100m W?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.