WNBA · resolved market
WNBA: Aces vs. Liberty Game 3
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa76ee92edbfa5a6ba88b64ce89bd4a46507cd0d5b8732c237df4b1f53a99a72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Libertyof Aces, Liberty
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Liberty | 42c | 2,000$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Aces | 57c | 1,154$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.79 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Aces | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Aces | 4c | 667$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Aces | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Liberty | 41c | 182.71$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Aces | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Liberty | 40c | 131.71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Liberty | 41c | 129.57$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.05 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…cefdbacked Liberty | 43c | 105.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +135.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…8e9abacked Aces | 59c | 105.31$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f0…9b26backed Liberty | 43c | 76.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…250cbacked Aces | 60c | 75.93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7721…7a0ebacked Aces | 59c | 72.42$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…f0b8backed Liberty | 43c | 72.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7856…bb26backed Liberty | 43c | 67.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…0f27backed Aces | 59c | 67.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf852…fcf7backed Aces | 59c | 43.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994c…a5a8backed Liberty | 43c | 42.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Aces | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…1962backed Aces | 60c | 22.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.