Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Midtjylland beat Union Saint-Gilloise?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c06bb160b028a1489f4bdf52fc2659e1aac01e47486636a7fbe27927aa097e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaaff…3f90backed Yes | 40c | 5,200$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e24…4bdbbacked No | 60c | 5,200$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 55c | 4,157$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.88 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced9…137bbacked No | 56c | 3,300$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6033…b18abacked Yes | 44c | 3,300$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 45c | 1,118$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.78 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 44c | 650$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 56c | 350$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 45c | 340.11$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.06 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77f7…9385backed Yes | 43c | 199.82$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 56c | 197.73$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.73 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 41cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fce…3757backed No | 57c | 99.12$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…3d63backed No | 57c | 99.12$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f1…0e3bbacked Yes | 44c | 98.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5549…1242backed Yes | 44c | 98.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 31c | 69.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddab…bd3ebacked Yes | 45c | 56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 45c | 35.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0a…fc1cbacked No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d0…8a75backed Yes | 72c | 33.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…1962backed No | 58c | 33.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5138…1d4dbacked Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5e…91dabacked Yes | 45c | 27.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Midtjylland beat Union Saint-Gilloise?this page
- Will the match between Midtjylland and Union Saint-Gilloise end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.