Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Lazio beat Nice?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fc8d8ef6381a90099737c5282c78189ccddb1b99d77cce7a462dfcf1ea904c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 50c | 2,065$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.67 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 50c | 1,458$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.03 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Yes | 63c | 994.03$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 36c | 597.01$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4e…c452backed Yes | 51c | 509.47$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ab…c589backed Yes | 48c | 207.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf882…5c05backed No | 52c | 207.77$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 51c | 194.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 48c | 151.92$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.92 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 50c | 125.73$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.32 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 50c | 110.43$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…b93cbacked Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked Yes | 50c | 94.23$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56bf…c19ebacked Yes | 49c | 74.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…a058backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…bdb0backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…1962backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…6c29backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb44…f556backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfca7…83e3backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b9…05f5backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf255…1443backed Yes | 62c | 19.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lazio beat Nice?this page
- Will Nice beat Lazio?No won
- Will the match between Lazio and Nice end in a Draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.