Fifa International · resolved market
Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ea04383cbc66191717a98d2162b947687a211a41055c6a775fca02eb37cb757
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb84…5fb5backed Under | 50c | 1,559$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.5 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Over | 47c | 1,436$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.98 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9647…4d48backed Over | 50c | 1,420$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Over | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 49c | 1,217$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.6 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 49c | 999.95$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.98 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 53c | 984.47$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.7 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x271e…f001backed Under | 52c | 618$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.64 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 575.54$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.26 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…1857backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 53c | 282.06$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.98 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 51c | 242$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 222.88$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.86 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Over | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…04d4backed Under | 51c | 199$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.51 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa484…524cbacked Over | 51c | 197$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Over | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…1962backed Under | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 50c | 120.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…2770backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x708e…d03fbacked Over | 50c | 96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfc…ab38backed Over | 51c | 75.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Under | 49c | 70.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Over | 51c | 62.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Over | 51c | 54.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 49c | 43.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36dc…b94abacked Under | 51c | 39.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 47c | 22.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e41…28b6backed Over | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc48…d89ebacked Over | 50c | 20.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd431…1dfbbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf0…1179backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Team to Take First CornerSweden won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.