Fifa International · resolved market
Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5dc315b0ab26b89ffc5a73748688af7faad2b8e8ce6bae87f3906c6801c69848
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 38c | 3,571$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.86 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 30c | 542.43$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.7 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Under | 32c | 528.18$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.86 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 32c | 445.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.18 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 30c | 430.04$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.18 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under | 29c | 252.56$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.32 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76d0…24b5backed Over | 70c | 230.04$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.11 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…05a2backed Under | 31c | 220.04$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec52…59e8backed Under | 30c | 199.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.99 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 33c | 199.95$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.97 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2854…927cbacked Over | 70c | 154.29$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x502c…728fbacked Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 28c | 141.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.03 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7274…5040backed Over | 72c | 139.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…432bbacked Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fd…f50bbacked Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…1cb8backed Over | 71c | 68.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d8…cf06backed Under | 34c | 50.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x361a…ea72backed Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x400c…38d3backed Over | 70c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fcb…cc09backed Under | 32c | 35.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 31c | 34.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e0…7715backed Over | 70c | 33.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…807abacked Over | 67c | 32.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…1909backed Under | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e89…5ec5backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x508b…9c09backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 68c | 18.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8e…664abacked Over | 60c | 18.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x836e…331fbacked Over | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…1f67backed Over | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Team to Take First CornerSweden won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.