Fifa International · resolved market
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 11.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe28a0d9e209a370c57e66a4c8c0c598010afe673956dfee927ef51409fb35495
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 74c | 4,166$3,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.58 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 27c | 3,162$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.74 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Under | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.8 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 73c | 1,211$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.33 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 26c | 1,063$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.48 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 26c | 961$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.86 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd404…b4ebbacked Over | 26c | 828.46$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.4 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 27c | 694.94$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.07 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb500…1cdebacked Under | 75c | 665.72$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.72 | 174 | 53.4%93 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 28c | 446.15$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.87 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 24c | 442$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.08 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd86a…89c7backed Under | 76c | 393.18$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.36 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed Over | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 24c | 273.47$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.63 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4930…0badbacked Over | 5c | 202.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0107…8c74backed Over | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…f868backed Under | 77c | 157$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa8…ea63backed Over | 26c | 140$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88d3…e903backed Under | 76c | 134.54$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Under | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 73c | 102.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd231…633cbacked Under | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 19c | 87.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 22c | 80.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55f0…6d87backed Over | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 75c | 70.73$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Over | 23c | 65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 189 | 11.1%21 W · 168 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b91…fb9dbacked Over | 33c | 59.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbe…7ba1backed Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 180 | 36.1%65 W · 115 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 74c | 46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5463…8748backed Over | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Over | 29c | 40.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…8d92backed Over | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 77c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Under | 74c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 368 | 38.6%142 W · 226 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 67c | 26.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…733cbacked Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x620d…a2f2backed Under | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 143 | 74.8%107 W · 36 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Team to Take First CornerSweden won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.