Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 3.5 Corners

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedf024189f97b5034dd10651fb1eb14070f4c4a3ec5821afce84618d0afc1203

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $27,780
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $29,312

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,780 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under	50c	10,148$5,052 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,051.79	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	56c	4,352$2,417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,934.24	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f4…4a4abacked Under	10c	2,340$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.36	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	+5.1wins	+0.20per pick	11cpaid	+154.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x94f1…54a1backed Over	48c	2,000$960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,039.99	127	38.6%49 W · 78 L	-8.2wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Over	48c	1,000$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520	142	34.5%49 W · 93 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ea6…180dbacked Over	47c	987.4$464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$523.32	53	56.6%30 W · 23 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	47c	876$415 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460.55	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Over	77c	801.25$618 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.21	148	56.8%84 W · 64 L	+20.7wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+59.5%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x09c4…2378backed Under	52c	750$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.5	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	+9.9wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x586d…c5dcbacked Over	48c	625.71$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325.37	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x271e…f001backed Over	47c	618$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.54	123	44.7%55 W · 68 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	70c	528.97$368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.81	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Over	52c	512.77$266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.45	377	54.4%205 W · 172 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c27…97c2backed Over	47c	500$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265	61	57.4%35 W · 26 L	+5.5wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50f4…04d4backed Over	47c	500$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265	62	56.5%35 W · 27 L	+4.8wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under	48c	500$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under	53c	500$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265	706	48.2%340 W · 366 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf998…13f5backed Over	53c	378.1$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.1	274	54%148 W · 126 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	51c	349.6$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.01	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under	47c	338.66$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.17	778	45%350 W · 428 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	48c	300$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over	49c	275.51$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.51	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	+3.9wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under	52c	250$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	1,206	50.2%606 W · 600 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	68c	221.54$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.81	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over	67c	212.3$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.3	151	43%65 W · 86 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Under	20c	205.15$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.85	89	30.3%27 W · 62 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	+43.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	34c	146.79$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.68	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	41c	132.84$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.56	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85bb…f924backed Over	49c	122.45$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.45	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Over	47c	119.68$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.97	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…786fbacked Over	47c	106.9$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.66	128	47.7%61 W · 67 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68ff…997ebacked Over	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	76	40.8%31 W · 45 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under	51c	99.99$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	572	52.4%300 W · 272 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c7f…0873backed Over	53c	99.17$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.61	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-4.7wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	52c	95.29$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.08	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Over	51c	85$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.7	62	29%18 W · 44 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x791c…2ea6backed Over	48c	72.03$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.46	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+69.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	52c	72.03$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.33	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	37c	66.21$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.42	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over	66c	65.4$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5908…a8bebacked Over	49c	61.22$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.22	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-2.4wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over	47c	58.94$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.24	580	29.5%171 W · 409 L	-19.9wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4b7…bc65backed Under	52c	57.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	63	47.6%30 W · 33 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	66c	57.11$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.21	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…1cd3backed Over	53c	56.6$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.6	96	51%49 W · 47 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Over	48c	54.19$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.18	264	49.2%130 W · 134 L	+10.2wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Over	52c	51.54$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.74	180	40%72 W · 108 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.75	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over	62c	49.99$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.17	518	59.8%310 W · 208 L	+26.7wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ba7…106ebacked Over	69c	43.53$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.53	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over	70c	42.66$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.96	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Under	48c	42.31$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.31	119	63%75 W · 44 L	+10.7wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa10…065abacked Under	49c	40.12$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.66	96	54.2%52 W · 44 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3607…c427backed Over	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	138	33.3%46 W · 92 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under	52c	34.06$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.71	765	51.6%395 W · 370 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fc0…ee45backed Over	64c	32.81$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.81	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over	47c	27.01$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.23	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Under	52c	25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	452	54.6%247 W · 205 L	+13.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce93…0457backed Over	49c	22.45$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.45	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-2.5wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over	68c	21.57$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.8	709	48.9%347 W · 362 L	+12.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b3…3014backed Over	60c	18.4$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.36	14	85.7%12 W · 2 L	+4.4wins	+0.32per pick	54cpaid	+60.5%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 3.5 Cornersthis page
Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Team to Take First CornerSweden won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 3.5 Corners

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event