TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 12.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,994
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,288

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,994 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over20c1,065$212 inLost-$211.643,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2be5…5c2abacked Under80c925.88$741 inWon+$185.181978.9%15 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick67cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under79c573.35$453 inWon+$120.41,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over22c465.04$100 inLost-$10045120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under79c357.9$283 inWon+$75.164,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over21c356.58$75 inLost-$74.978,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed Over21c309.52$65 inLost-$653318.2%6 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5824…8e3fbacked Under80c250$200 inWon+$504667.4%31 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadf4…069ebacked Over21c238.1$50 inLost-$5014323.1%33 W · 110 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xece7…3673backed Under79c199.99$158 inWon+$426346%29 W · 34 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under80c130.5$104 inWon+$26.185851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under78c127.22$99 inWon+$28.072,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c1f…08a6backed Over20c90$18 inLost-$1825221.4%54 W · 198 L-15.6wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9071…5921backed Over21c52.38$11 inLost-$11425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under79c50$40 inWon+$10.52,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfa4…c23abacked Under80c49$39 inWon+$9.83360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb9…901bbacked Over25c40$10 inLost-$103148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8875…1b32backed Under80c19.99$16 inWon+$41384.6%11 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick71cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77c2…c378backed Under80c12.5$10 inWon+$2.51457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+47%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ac6…db36backed Under80c12.5$10 inWon+$2.51573.3%11 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick74cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa80b…e349backed Under80c12.5$10 inWon+$2.56100%6 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.