TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blues vs. Red Wings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bluesof Blues, Red Wings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,674
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,548

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,674 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x977a…f2cabacked Red Wings1c2,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Blues73c1,800$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.596149.2%30 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Blues50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Red Wings26c848.37$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.5892848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Red Wings50c737.54$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.7772448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Red Wings29c584.86$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.3231334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6afa…8f06backed Red Wings51c512.11$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.251323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-46%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Red Wings51c455.23$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.8719150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0715…b17bbacked Blues49c453.41$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.241478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.24per pick55cpaid+49.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0ff5…314cbacked Red Wings51c453.41$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.24757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x487f…30babacked Red Wings52c450$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2342733.3%9 W · 18 L-5.8wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-42.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcf64…7e54backed Blues48c450$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2342669.2%18 W · 8 L+6.0wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+55%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd445…abf3backed Red Wings46c420.27$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.792040%8 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed Blues48c403$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.823842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Blues47c336.16$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.1731849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Red Wings6c321.62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9691334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Blues51c295.95$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.9520540.5%83 W · 122 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Red Wings8c277.59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.337450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Blues48c255.88$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.069153.8%49 W · 42 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8971…7492backed Blues51c214.23$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46fb…6d53backed Blues51c213.51$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3480…579dbacked Blues49c212.24$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb360…f39ebacked Red Wings52c212.23$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfd…605dbacked Blues49c210.2$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4308…bc77backed Blues49c210.2$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b7…7e11backed Red Wings53c210.18$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb5a…b0c2backed Red Wings53c210.07$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e91…50c6backed Red Wings52c208.08$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a6…30debacked Blues50c208$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26e0…d3bfbacked Blues50c208$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1042100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7116…fe13backed Red Wings53c207.92$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb99f…4840backed Red Wings52c207.69$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53a1…2111backed Red Wings52c206.51$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x205c…d1e2backed Blues50c206.47$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.472100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae26…ce30backed Red Wings52c206$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a94…710ebacked Blues50c206$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1031100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7c9…0400backed Red Wings52c206$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93de…bfaebacked Blues50c206$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1031100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b6b…a5c6backed Red Wings52c206$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6253…a436backed Blues50c206$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1031100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Blues48c204.88$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.546642.4%28 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39ea…a14fbacked Blues50c204$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f75…e42cbacked Red Wings52c203.85$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc57d…d9a4backed Red Wings51c202.74$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.41764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8024…482abacked Blues49c202.74$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Wings52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Wings52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5007…f0c3backed Red Wings7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x964b…167abacked Red Wings53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002050%10 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa40e…53ddbacked Red Wings53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+40.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Blues48c183.02$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1923144.6%103 W · 128 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x579a…4284backed Red Wings52c153.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Red Wings7c151.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.031895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c86…48a7backed Blues50c150.8$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x732b…85f4backed Blues50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756050%30 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Red Wings50c148.22$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.111,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Blues48c129.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6111445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Red Wings50c126.49$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.259459.6%56 W · 38 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Blues49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5128542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3a3…7838backed Blues50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Red Wings52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5250049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945e…2acabacked Blues66c90.29$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.78950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f7…fea9backed Red Wings51c83.09$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf27d…51b7backed Blues49c83.09$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.38540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05b3…47aebacked Blues48c78.5$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc17a…1db3backed Red Wings52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407950.6%40 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe411…9367backed Red Wings52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403860.5%23 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa118…a981backed Blues48c70.92$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9bb…f157backed Blues48c68.57$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.65540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…f37fbacked Blues49c63.27$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.271145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe05d…2776backed Red Wings52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a2f…0176backed Red Wings51c56.11$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9be…f9ccbacked Blues48c53.96$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35d…c9cdbacked Blues46c53.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3089…37dbbacked Red Wings50c53.09$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.55425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-65.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc018…018abacked Red Wings55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.56752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Blues47c46.83$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.684051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8feb…3212backed Red Wings51c46.72$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8340%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x30cf…28d7backed Red Wings52c46.66$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.22540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Blues48c46.63$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2572847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9f7…84c0backed Blues49c46.4$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.664100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+109.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9610…29bcbacked Red Wings52c46.1$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.97475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+39.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Blues48c46$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.934839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Blues48c45.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9258346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe045…a905backed Blues48c45.95$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.89633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb491…42babacked Blues48c45.67$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.755100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+91.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9f0a…05bcbacked Red Wings52c45.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb09c…fb93backed Blues49c45.64$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72ed…7f21backed Blues49c45.54$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb44c…81ffbacked Red Wings52c45.41$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00c5…ac3ebacked Blues48c44.43$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb19b…478dbacked Red Wings53c43.77$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.4wins-0.31per pick53cpaid-65.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe394…f9b0backed Red Wings52c43.62$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x156d…03d3backed Red Wings52c43.62$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.69250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd4f…c6bebacked Blues48c43.62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.696100%6 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+104.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa29d…76bdbacked Red Wings53c43.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.96475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+44.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…e720backed Red Wings51c43.06$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70fa…9ddebacked Blues49c43.06$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.96475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b89…329ebacked Blues49c42.86$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.861050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e07…6ddfbacked Blues47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.553100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.