Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02ab4a8dda332808f3c27061a0449645546834bc324e0d5e617bdc33500cf6c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof REKONIX, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked REKONIX | 9c | 13,758$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.17 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed REKONIX | 1c | 12,045$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.34 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked REKONIX | 10c | 6,660$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.28 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed REKONIX | 10c | 6,213$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.91 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed REKONIX | 7c | 5,955$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.34 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked REKONIX | 12c | 5,833$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked REKONIX | 9c | 5,481$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.68 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked REKONIX | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed REKONIX | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed REKONIX | 10c | 2,862$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.42 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked REKONIX | 7c | 2,842$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.94 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed REKONIX | 11c | 2,689$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed REKONIX | 11c | 2,191$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.41 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed REKONIX | 11c | 2,077$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.57 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed REKONIX | 11c | 2,034$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.87 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked REKONIX | 10c | 1,781$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.22 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed REKONIX | 8c | 1,780$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.43 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed REKONIX | 10c | 1,757$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.92 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked REKONIX | 9c | 1,268$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.19 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 11c | 1,183$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.52 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed REKONIX | 11c | 1,170$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.65 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed REKONIX | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked REKONIX | 14c | 999$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.75 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…0af2backed REKONIX | 8c | 998.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked REKONIX | 9c | 897.79$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.85 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed REKONIX | 11c | 657$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.27 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked REKONIX | 10c | 547.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed REKONIX | 10c | 547.9$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed REKONIX | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed REKONIX | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed REKONIX | 13c | 499.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked REKONIX | 8c | 490.02$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed REKONIX | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0472…c3bfbacked REKONIX | 8c | 357.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked REKONIX | 10c | 343.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 395 | 50.1%198 W · 197 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a74…7a33backed REKONIX | 4c | 341.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed REKONIX | 10c | 313.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked REKONIX | 9c | 306.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked REKONIX | 7c | 303.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed REKONIX | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4a…1104backed REKONIX | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked REKONIX | 16c | 249.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed REKONIX | 11c | 232.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…e27cbacked REKONIX | 9c | 214.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked REKONIX | 15c | 205.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ad…4be9backed REKONIX | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed REKONIX | 8c | 187.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed REKONIX | 9c | 172.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed REKONIX | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb5…3a71backed REKONIX | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked REKONIX | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Spirit (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group CTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.