Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9056e2f6b98b966287c79e9a4bf8ad2f03e80047b25b9fc0cdb21e03d84b69a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof Team Yandex, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $195,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $218,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked OG | 21c | 20,757$4,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,386.97 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed OG | 31c | 15,447$4,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,681.45 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex | 69c | 10,005$6,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,932.74 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Yandex | 67c | 9,465$6,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,327.09 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked OG | 16c | 7,340$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,153.46 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Yandex | 70c | 6,970$4,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,888.51 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Yandex | 72c | 6,674$4,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,820.18 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed OG | 23c | 6,666$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,155.3 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed OG | 21c | 5,491$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,341.47 | 474 | 50.8%241 W · 233 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Team Yandex | 38c | 4,737$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.41 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Yandex | 71c | 4,205$2,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970.54 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed OG | 28c | 3,600$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,578 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed OG | 25c | 3,489$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,629.21 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Yandex | 75c | 3,346$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,492.62 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Yandex | 62c | 3,344$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087.03 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed OG | 49c | 3,253$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.15 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked OG | 20c | 2,939$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.59 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed OG | 39c | 2,704$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.26 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed OG | 23c | 2,500$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Team Yandex | 66c | 2,500$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed OG | 21c | 2,403$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.69 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed OG | 20c | 2,285$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked OG | 43c | 2,258$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.36 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked OG | 34c | 2,185$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.09 | 410 | 42.4%174 W · 236 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Team Yandex | 80c | 2,173$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a46…8112backed OG | 49c | 2,022$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.51 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Team Yandex | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Team Yandex | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Yandex | 77c | 1,994$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.06 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…5f49backed Team Yandex | 30c | 1,740$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.27 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked Team Yandex | 68c | 1,700$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.99 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed OG | 32c | 1,694$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.73 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Team Yandex | 75c | 1,519$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.7 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed OG | 26c | 1,380$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.2 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…1ee8backed Team Yandex | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Team Yandex | 78c | 1,255$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.69 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked OG | 40c | 1,221$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.62 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked OG | 41c | 1,186$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.6 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked OG | 22c | 1,085$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.25 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…bf89backed Team Yandex | 78c | 1,039$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed OG | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Yandex | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed OG | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Team Yandex | 70c | 949.7$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Yandex | 77c | 903.9$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Team Yandex | 42c | 815.05$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.87 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Team Yandex | 68c | 799.99$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.99 | 591 | 54%319 W · 272 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Yandex | 77c | 776.05$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 907 | 53.7%487 W · 420 L | +50.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Yandex | 79c | 775.42$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.33 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Team Yandex | 67c | 749.23$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.11 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Yandex | 78c | 705.27$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.66 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Yandex | 77c | 700$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…e95dbacked Team Yandex | 41c | 700$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.46 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Team Yandex | 76c | 678.3$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.73 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed OG | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked OG | 29c | 665.14$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.32 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Team Yandex | 77c | 643$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.11 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Yandex | 2c | 640.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked OG | 21c | 613.07$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.22 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed Team Yandex | 77c | 600$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb34…507bbacked Team Yandex | 77c | 600$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -5.2wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d9…2085backed Team Yandex | 77c | 594.37$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.66 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Yandex | 38c | 577.69$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.48 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…fdc1backed Team Yandex | 77c | 540$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.8 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…5a31backed Team Yandex | 80c | 537.46$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked OG | 30c | 500.34$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.63 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked OG | 38c | 487.09$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.59 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Team Yandex | 76c | 481.63$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.54 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Team Yandex | 77c | 480$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.6 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Yandex | 66c | 442.77$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.23 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked OG | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed OG | 35c | 430.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.98 | 499 | 52.9%264 W · 235 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Yandex | 76c | 422$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.72 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked OG | 21c | 419.05$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.05 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Team Yandex | 6c | 409.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 324 | 3.1%10 W · 314 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Team Yandex | 80c | 389.57$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.37 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…3540backed Team Yandex | 38c | 386.77$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.58 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +10.3wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Team Yandex | 76c | 361.25$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.59 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703e…9828backed Team Yandex | 15c | 356.39$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Yandex | 78c | 350.19$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.37 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked OG | 24c | 350$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.5 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed OG | 40c | 349.9$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.98 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Team Yandex | 54c | 345.09$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.77 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Team Yandex | 61c | 339.52$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.66 | 409 | 33%135 W · 274 L | -36.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked OG | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked OG | 17c | 317.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.15 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed Team Yandex | 45c | 302.73$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.96 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +11.3wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Team Yandex | 72c | 300$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 300 | 54.7%164 W · 136 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…8024backed Team Yandex | 77c | 290.78$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.9 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Team Yandex | 71c | 270.77$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.13 | 217 | 69.1%150 W · 67 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed OG | 21c | 269.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.28 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed OG | 21c | 266.31$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.31 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed OG | 17c | 249.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.49 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed OG | 18c | 249.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.99 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Team Yandex | 67c | 248.62$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.58 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Yandex | 58c | 229.98$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.99 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed OG | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Team Yandex | 67c | 205$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.55 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked OG | 30c | 203.33$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.33 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x029e…b19cbacked Team Yandex | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +46%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.