Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c2e800d48a48bc22e490e22db62f69495e1bed100f092da5ee93faed0424c7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Team Yandex, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked OG | 0c | 15,500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked OG | 20c | 14,029$2,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,782.93 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Yandex | 76c | 7,777$5,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.48 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked OG | 26c | 5,000$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.87 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked OG | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked OG | 29c | 4,546$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.4 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed Team Yandex | 78c | 4,523$3,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.83 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Team Yandex | 73c | 4,148$3,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.08 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Yandex | 72c | 3,658$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.32 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Yandex | 74c | 3,199$2,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.77 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Team Yandex | 71c | 2,760$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.4 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked OG | 26c | 2,308$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked OG | 28c | 2,251$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.31 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Yandex | 74c | 2,205$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.24 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Team Yandex | 76c | 2,099$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.82 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed OG | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed OG | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Yandex | 74c | 2,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.99 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed OG | 27c | 1,731$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.31 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked OG | 27c | 1,682$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.16 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked OG | 27c | 1,681$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.85 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex | 73c | 1,604$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.75 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Yandex | 74c | 1,600$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.03 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed OG | 31c | 1,521$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.51 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Yandex | 73c | 1,360$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.24 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Yandex | 73c | 1,220$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.35 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Team Yandex | 77c | 1,059$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.79 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Team Yandex | 80c | 1,011$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.53 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Yandex | 73c | 1,000$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked OG | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed OG | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed OG | 23c | 903.17$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.19 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked OG | 2c | 845.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked OG | 26c | 840.67$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.46 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed OG | 27c | 818.33$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.95 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Yandex | 79c | 818.03$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.19 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Yandex | 74c | 805.74$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.49 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Team Yandex | 72c | 800$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked OG | 26c | 752.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.78 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Yandex | 76c | 650$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed Team Yandex | 78c | 642.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.06 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed OG | 27c | 577.33$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.75 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed OG | 27c | 535$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.45 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Yandex | 76c | 528.75$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.9 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed OG | 25c | 513.38$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.35 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked OG | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.8 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed OG | 25c | 499.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Yandex | 74c | 446.98$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.56 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Team Yandex | 73c | 425$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Yandex | 74c | 418.94$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.97 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed OG | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bb…6538backed Team Yandex | 74c | 399.6$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed OG | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed OG | 28c | 350.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.26 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Yandex | 72c | 297.11$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.19 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed OG | 27c | 296.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed OG | 30c | 251.63$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Team Yandex | 77c | 250$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Team Yandex | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Team Yandex | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked Team Yandex | 72c | 248.36$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.54 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed OG | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 8%4 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e99…2229backed OG | 10c | 205.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed OG | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc13b…701ebacked Team Yandex | 75c | 195.06$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ec…2711backed Team Yandex | 73c | 193.08$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked OG | 24c | 187.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed OG | 29c | 180.24$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Yandex | 75c | 173.47$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.83 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed OG | 9c | 167.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed OG | 27c | 162.55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Team Yandex | 72c | 160.5$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked OG | 21c | 158.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Team Yandex | 74c | 155$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Yandex | 73c | 153.7$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…516bbacked Team Yandex | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed OG | 25c | 115.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked OG | 27c | 111.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 115 | 3.5%4 W · 111 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked OG | 26c | 110.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 225 | 58.2%131 W · 94 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Yandex | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Yandex | 74c | 94.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…d388backed OG | 26c | 88.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb695…f967backed OG | 30c | 82.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe559…b262backed Team Yandex | 74c | 82.43$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked OG | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked OG | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Yandex | 70c | 79.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc7…e4d4backed Team Yandex | 77c | 65.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Yandex | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Team Yandex | 76c | 63.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Team Yandex | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Team Yandex | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 381 | 67.2%256 W · 125 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked OG | 25c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Team Yandex | 72c | 41.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 217 | 69.1%150 W · 67 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…cf1abacked OG | 27c | 40.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 304 | 58.6%178 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked OG | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 473 | 58.6%277 W · 196 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…099fbacked OG | 28c | 36.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Team Yandex | 78c | 36.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Team Yandex | 75c | 34.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Team Yandex | 72c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG - Game 2 WinnerOG won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.