Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: KRÜ (-1.5) vs BESTIA (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cd2f1f55d89ab582c2cc3bb2ad1e81792e106fc348b6126ca69bf48edbc82b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof KRÜ Esports, BESTIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65c1…2988backed BESTIA | 61c | 11,830$7,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,601.56 | 255 | 54.9%140 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked KRÜ Esports | 39c | 7,046$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.92 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed KRÜ Esports | 38c | 3,282$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.16 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked KRÜ Esports | 38c | 559.38$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.56 | 267 | 38.2%102 W · 165 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…9840backed BESTIA | 62c | 349.46$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.02 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ca…b8bebacked BESTIA | 62c | 314.5$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…1222backed KRÜ Esports | 38c | 305.19$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.92 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +7.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed KRÜ Esports | 38c | 278.61$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42cd…2359backed KRÜ Esports | 37c | 267.57$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed BESTIA | 62c | 264.83$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.78 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked KRÜ Esports | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…73c7backed KRÜ Esports | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked KRÜ Esports | 39c | 259.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…56a1backed KRÜ Esports | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed BESTIA | 61c | 255$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 230 | 55.7%128 W · 102 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed BESTIA | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed BESTIA | 62c | 223.88$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed BESTIA | 63c | 134$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed BESTIA | 60c | 130$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…cd25backed KRÜ Esports | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed KRÜ Esports | 39c | 103.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32e9…39a0backed KRÜ Esports | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a5…ed7abacked KRÜ Esports | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -5.9wins | -0.42per pick | 50cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed BESTIA | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed BESTIA | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e7…f2e5backed KRÜ Esports | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4a…59d9backed KRÜ Esports | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed KRÜ Esports | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…55d7backed KRÜ Esports | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked BESTIA | 58c | 47.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked KRÜ Esports | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 39.3%66 W · 102 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked BESTIA | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked KRÜ Esports | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 164 | 20.1%33 W · 131 L | -20.1wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked BESTIA | 66c | 39.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed KRÜ Esports | 39c | 32.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed KRÜ Esports | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: KRÜ (-1.5) vs BESTIA (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs BESTIA (+2.5)BESTIA won
- Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-InKRÜ Esports won
- Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs BESTIA - Map 1 WinnerBESTIA won
- Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs BESTIA - Map 2 WinnerKRÜ Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.