Asian League · resolved market
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ccbbff39cf4e5799beca0c4c1630cb4b2e3236182c27dc534f1434c34ee2f06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc277…9d94backed Over | 2c | 850$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 15c | 755.35$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.75 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…05c8backed Under | 77c | 479.63$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.86 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 62c | 429.64$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.25 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 302.79$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.01 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 50c | 298.83$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.42 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 56c | 276.91$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.49 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 44c | 272.43$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.87 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Under | 54c | 204.07$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 66c | 138.1$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2f…f350backed Under | 51c | 125.49$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Over | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 60c | 89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…de48backed Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 36c | 66.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked Under | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3829…dea6backed Over | 50c | 49.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 54c | 36.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Under | 54c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…6e31backed Under | 76c | 22.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.