Asian League · resolved market
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6074bef213b64b391a11621d03005490b2809f353794250e46ba9685b88d6b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 3,692$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.04 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 1,656$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.24 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Under | 42c | 1,194$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.39 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…05c8backed Over | 60c | 1,091$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.72 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under | 40c | 898.18$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.27 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Over | 36c | 724.25$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.81 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 49c | 718.27$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 36c | 474.42$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.35 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Under | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Over | 42c | 377$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 60c | 369.38$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.38 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9147…0d0abacked Over | 59c | 339.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b6…31e9backed Under | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…6232backed Over | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x724f…79ddbacked Over | 65c | 228.75$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +88%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedac…e765backed Under | 48c | 217.81$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…7f4cbacked Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb67c…4532backed Under | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 42c | 101$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 65.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 60c | 58.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 59c | 54.39$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…4698backed Over | 56c | 51.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Over | 54c | 42.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 73cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…505cbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe4…8f49backed Over | 41c | 39.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…6e31backed Over | 33c | 30.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…b9f9backed Over | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e10…b8d4backed Under | 56c | 25.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c81…4e8dbacked Over | 59c | 25.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Over | 53c | 20.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…5830backed Over | 51c | 19.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Under | 70c | 14.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.