TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Solary vs Vitality.Bee - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vitality.Beeof Solary, Vitality.Bee
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,313
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,174

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,313 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…91a2backed Solary1c4,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60601.7%1 W · 59 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-65.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e50…0ea8backed Solary1c4,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60630%0 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b0…5e5ebacked Solary1c4,100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56712.8%2 W · 69 L+0.2wins0.00per pick3cpaid-41.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Solary80c3,787$3,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,021.711,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Solary1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30603.3%2 W · 58 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+100%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0160…c757backed Solary1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%0 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e8…9490backed Solary1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30430%0 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Vitality.Bee20c2,500$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0001,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bee…ee2abacked Solary1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017445.4%79 W · 95 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-1.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed Vitality.Bee34c1,789$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.491,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Vitality.Bee19c1,518$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.531,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bcc…b4fabacked Solary48c1,443$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.1323549.4%116 W · 119 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb35f…cf4cbacked Solary46c1,279$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.7144846.2%207 W · 241 L+1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865c…4079backed Vitality.Bee21c999.97$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.987529.3%22 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Vitality.Bee64c977.71$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.212,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Vitality.Bee21c889.67$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.7469041.3%285 W · 405 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c73…6dafbacked Solary80c821.41$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.9852065.4%340 W · 180 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Vitality.Bee20c750$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60096250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ef…7d7bbacked Vitality.Bee29c742.15$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.1466559.5%396 W · 269 L+72.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0b5a…1457backed Vitality.Bee31c734.6$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.536643.7%160 W · 206 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Vitality.Bee21c677$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.7966843%287 W · 381 L-29.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Solary80c600$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48089050.6%450 W · 440 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa844…83b8backed Solary79c555.06$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.662158.8%365 W · 256 L+32.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed Solary71c528.19$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.221134.6%73 W · 138 L-16.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Solary78c523.98$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.752,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Solary77c518.01$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed Solary80c506.32$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.7558559.7%349 W · 236 L+28.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Solary33c495.2$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.351,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Solary80c470.04$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.932,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Solary75c465.31$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.51,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Vitality.Bee20c455$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid0%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc6e0…413fbacked Vitality.Bee26c410.67$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.597163.4%45 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Vitality.Bee34c409.82$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.1837754.1%204 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdee7…1ad7backed Vitality.Bee39c390.71$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.612962.8%81 W · 48 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0536…a40cbacked Solary79c388.49$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30721133.2%70 W · 141 L-1.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6f8…7fa1backed Solary79c379.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30077746.2%359 W · 418 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dee…30b1backed Solary79c372.77$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.6519663.3%124 W · 72 L+17.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Solary48c329.24$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.171,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xb039…c6d9backed Vitality.Bee75c300$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.1516451.2%84 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf2f…0115backed Solary72c300$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21735656.2%200 W · 156 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53da…7603backed Vitality.Bee22c299.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.8415161.6%93 W · 58 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Vitality.Bee21c269.04$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.541,38545.1%625 W · 760 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Vitality.Bee61c261.14$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.042,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Vitality.Bee42c241.8$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.061,89937.1%705 W · 1,194 L-113.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Vitality.Bee21c240$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.635642.4%151 W · 205 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Vitality.Bee23c229.69$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.91,11339%434 W · 679 L-44.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Vitality.Bee20c206.62$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.35131.4%16 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc806…57c6backed Solary61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12216243.8%71 W · 91 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5264…7eb9backed Solary61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12212040%48 W · 72 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3f1…cae0backed Solary47c199.98$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.441947%197 W · 222 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb1…d11ebacked Solary70c198.8$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14015541.3%64 W · 91 L-9.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Vitality.Bee60c198.17$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3740741.5%169 W · 238 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x483b…f0a3backed Solary79c191.69$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.1611563.5%73 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Solary39c187.11$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.511,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked Solary49c182.09$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2153355%293 W · 240 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Vitality.Bee20c172.5$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.5829447.6%140 W · 154 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f88…c6e8backed Vitality.Bee21c171$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7812128.9%35 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked Solary13c156.2$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0167115.4%103 W · 568 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-57.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d29…65e7backed Solary11c150$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.518831.4%59 W · 129 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf6…52bfbacked Vitality.Bee20c150$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-53.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb0d5…573bbacked Vitality.Bee21c142.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.862231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Solary62c142$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4121231.1%66 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x811a…9a3cbacked Vitality.Bee33c135.89$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6710252%53 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Vitality.Bee29c135.4$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.7419244.3%85 W · 107 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6374…6408backed Solary61c130$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.318638.7%72 W · 114 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca4e…38d3backed Solary79c130$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84b1…51b8backed Solary61c120$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.210839.8%43 W · 65 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe846…252bbacked Solary61c120$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.220336.9%75 W · 128 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9473…cba4backed Solary44c117.38$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9553545.2%242 W · 293 L+0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbd2…2b8fbacked Vitality.Bee22c108$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2442851.2%219 W · 209 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Solary73c107$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4563742.7%272 W · 365 L-2.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1df…245ebacked Solary64c101.64$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9795253.8%512 W · 440 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22a7…ca43backed Vitality.Bee75c101.35$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.747843.6%34 W · 44 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b6…e0a0backed Vitality.Bee20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809239.1%36 W · 56 L-11.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd16b…36c0backed Solary53c95.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.347854%258 W · 220 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Vitality.Bee60c94.7$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9613444%59 W · 75 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Solary76c94.15$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.861,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5819…2b4fbacked Solary50c93.48$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7450550.7%256 W · 249 L+34.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Vitality.Bee24c89.52$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.0444745.2%202 W · 245 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Solary78c87.04$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.166458%385 W · 279 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Vitality.Bee58c84$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.641,31847.3%624 W · 694 L-31.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x050c…bf27backed Vitality.Bee37c82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6617850%89 W · 89 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Vitality.Bee23c80$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6280832.9%266 W · 542 L-43.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x48f3…a1a4backed Vitality.Bee20c80$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6410040%40 W · 60 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Vitality.Bee22c74.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.541749.2%205 W · 212 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Solary79c70.9$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3346058%267 W · 193 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Solary25c70.4$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.751,05746.1%487 W · 570 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23d8…f6b9backed Solary71c70$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.727465.7%180 W · 94 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe588…ad2bbacked Vitality.Bee72c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Solary42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.963426%165 W · 469 L-90.0wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-54%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x5bf9…ad6ebacked Solary61c50.77$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9715743.3%68 W · 89 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Solary80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012850%64 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Solary80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404156.1%23 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Vitality.Bee35c49.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2269644.4%309 W · 387 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Vitality.Bee53c44.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1328329.7%84 W · 199 L-32.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-44.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2b9d…3373backed Solary70c41.37$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9611645.7%53 W · 63 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e6…7c34backed Vitality.Bee30c41.37$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.967651.3%39 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Vitality.Bee33c41.09$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.571,21839.9%486 W · 732 L-65.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76d2…99a6backed Solary74c38.41$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.53557.1%20 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a6c…f348backed Solary79c36.53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.693253.1%17 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.