Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs Vitality.Bee (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6d13c4c46548be384ff611cbe2388b33833b533eea3429c87cf4a53e895a0df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitality.Beeof Solary, Vitality.Bee
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Solary | 63c | 2,128$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.93 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…509dbacked Solary | 65c | 794.47$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.9 | 252 | 68.3%172 W · 80 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Vitality.Bee | 36c | 750$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.5 | 294 | 47.6%140 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Vitality.Bee | 37c | 719.77$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.46 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Solary | 65c | 489.05$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.89 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Vitality.Bee | 37c | 432.94$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.75 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Vitality.Bee | 35c | 399.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Vitality.Bee | 35c | 324$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.6 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Vitality.Bee | 37c | 300.75$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.97 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Solary | 65c | 292.31$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Vitality.Bee | 41c | 117.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.98 | 447 | 45.2%202 W · 245 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…864bbacked Vitality.Bee | 35c | 112.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.43 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Vitality.Bee | 36c | 111.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.42 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d5…573bbacked Vitality.Bee | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Vitality.Bee | 36c | 84.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.33 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Vitality.Bee | 36c | 83.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Vitality.Bee | 36c | 52.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 450 | 44.7%201 W · 249 L | -29.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Vitality.Bee | 58c | 47.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Solary | 42c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Vitality.Bee | 38c | 33.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Vitality.Bee | 38c | 30.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dc…58d5backed Solary | 70c | 24.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Vitality.Bee | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 161 | 30.4%49 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked Solary | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…65f2backed Solary | 62c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Solary | 63c | 16.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs Vitality.Bee (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Solary vs Vitality.Bee (BO3) - LFL PlayoffsSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs Vitality.Bee - Game 1 WinnerSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs Vitality.Bee - Game 2 WinnerVitality.Bee won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.