Lol · resolved market
LoL: Solary vs Vitality.Bee - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc61c8b0aad02b9ecdc26ed567d19536f8f832bad97866685998edc79f9b2a13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Solaryof Solary, Vitality.Bee
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Vitality.Bee | 9c | 7,442$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.54 | 1,852 | 39.8%738 W · 1,114 L | -64.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Solary | 79c | 4,136$3,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.66 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ba…246cbacked Vitality.Bee | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 273 | 52.4%143 W · 130 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Vitality.Bee | 20c | 1,355$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.02 | 1,474 | 29%427 W · 1,047 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…d5e4backed Solary | 80c | 1,118$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.51 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Vitality.Bee | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,221 | 35.9%438 W · 783 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Solary | 79c | 994.42$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.83 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…6bdbbacked Vitality.Bee | 21c | 762.43$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.11 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Solary | 77c | 611.88$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.59 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Vitality.Bee | 21c | 573$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.33 | 669 | 42.9%287 W · 382 L | -30.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Vitality.Bee | 20c | 501.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 963 | 50.2%483 W · 480 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…e9f8backed Vitality.Bee | 11c | 452.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd1…afdbbacked Solary | 80c | 419.89$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Vitality.Bee | 21c | 388.57$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 288 | 35.4%102 W · 186 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Vitality.Bee | 21c | 383.66$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.57 | 1,399 | 44.9%628 W · 771 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Vitality.Bee | 17c | 379.38$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.73 | 650 | 43.1%280 W · 370 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…7fa1backed Solary | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 786 | 46.4%365 W · 421 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Vitality.Bee | 21c | 373.71$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.48 | 548 | 29.6%162 W · 386 L | -36.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…7b74backed Solary | 80c | 256.25$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 487 | 63.2%308 W · 179 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2f…ff10backed Vitality.Bee | 14c | 249.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Vitality.Bee | 21c | 240$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Vitality.Bee | 19c | 234.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Vitality.Bee | 15c | 234.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Vitality.Bee | 21c | 230$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 1,348 | 47.3%637 W · 711 L | -33.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53da…7603backed Solary | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2f…0115backed Solary | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 369 | 55.3%204 W · 165 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Vitality.Bee | 14c | 199.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Vitality.Bee | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 282 | 46.5%131 W · 151 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Vitality.Bee | 21c | 115.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd2…2b8fbacked Vitality.Bee | 21c | 112$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 440 | 51.4%226 W · 214 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Vitality.Bee | 19c | 105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1,912 | 37.1%709 W · 1,203 L | -115.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Vitality.Bee | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 813 | 33%268 W · 545 L | -43.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Vitality.Bee | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Vitality.Bee | 21c | 84.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 668 | 45.5%304 W · 364 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f3…a1a4backed Vitality.Bee | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Vitality.Bee | 23c | 74.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Vitality.Bee | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Solary | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 200 | 59%118 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…aaa2backed Vitality.Bee | 17c | 63.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…9ac3backed Vitality.Bee | 20c | 57.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 443 | 55.5%246 W · 197 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…245ebacked Solary | 80c | 55.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 953 | 53.7%512 W · 441 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Solary | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Vitality.Bee | 22c | 48.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 435 | 43.2%188 W · 247 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Solary | 80c | 27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56aa…969abacked Solary | 80c | 24.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Solary vs Vitality.Bee - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs Vitality.Bee (+1.5)Vitality.Bee won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Solary vs Vitality.Bee (BO3) - LFL PlayoffsSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs Vitality.Bee - Game 2 WinnerVitality.Bee won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.