CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Play-In
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24020d22aae3c6b1c727e59f7969c61735382c2593eedd8af2d9ce68508e84aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vexarof NEW VISION, Vexar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb209…b744backed NEW VISION | 48c | 4,277$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.61 | 294 | 40.5%119 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed NEW VISION | 61c | 3,284$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.05 | 1,652 | 52.9%874 W · 778 L | +60.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9d…df59backed Vexar | 36c | 2,549$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.17 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d7…a08abacked Vexar | 41c | 2,221$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.19 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Vexar | 50c | 1,809$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.35 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…0486backed Vexar | 47c | 1,798$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.96 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed2…f9fcbacked Vexar | 48c | 1,741$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Vexar | 40c | 1,351$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.76 | 439 | 54.9%241 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…523dbacked Vexar | 71c | 1,258$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.73 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +4.7wins | +0.36per pick | 56cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked NEW VISION | 63c | 1,134$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.7 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed NEW VISION | 38c | 1,098$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.17 | 286 | 37.8%108 W · 178 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked Vexar | 67c | 910.9$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.41 | 226 | 58%131 W · 95 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd299…e8adbacked Vexar | 43c | 895.19$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…2e18backed NEW VISION | 60c | 883$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.08 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…b7dabacked NEW VISION | 45c | 752.99$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.85 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…afd7backed Vexar | 48c | 706.14$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.23 | 229 | 40.2%92 W · 137 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed NEW VISION | 31c | 702.34$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.77 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…ab76backed NEW VISION | 54c | 644.11$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.84 | 347 | 50.1%174 W · 173 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd30b…2acdbacked Vexar | 55c | 550$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed Vexar | 37c | 546.15$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.99 | 224 | 52.2%117 W · 107 L | +20.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…6383backed Vexar | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…e928backed Vexar | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked NEW VISION | 57c | 465$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.2 | 769 | 33.8%260 W · 509 L | -48.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked NEW VISION | 46c | 421.83$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.38 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf404…daaabacked NEW VISION | 38c | 415.16$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.99 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Vexar | 42c | 402.41$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.4 | 310 | 43.9%136 W · 174 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed NEW VISION | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked NEW VISION | 57c | 399.99$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.99 | 183 | 50.8%93 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked Vexar | 56c | 387.35$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.31 | 268 | 54.5%146 W · 122 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked Vexar | 38c | 386$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.32 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…fb40backed Vexar | 61c | 385.79$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7699…2ef6backed NEW VISION | 29c | 382.83$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.02 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -70%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed NEW VISION | 63c | 356.3$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.47 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…968dbacked NEW VISION | 60c | 352$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb0…6cebbacked NEW VISION | 62c | 336$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.32 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed NEW VISION | 58c | 334.01$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.98 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed NEW VISION | 29c | 330.45$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 726 | 45.6%331 W · 395 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked NEW VISION | 54c | 329.8$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.99 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc466…3f77backed NEW VISION | 58c | 327.59$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ea…7668backed Vexar | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +7.8wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…caf8backed NEW VISION | 64c | 311.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.85 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked NEW VISION | 16c | 302.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed NEW VISION | 61c | 295.99$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.55 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed NEW VISION | 45c | 281.3$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.48 | 346 | 26.9%93 W · 253 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb140…ce3dbacked Vexar | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked NEW VISION | 57c | 269.4$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.29 | 489 | 41.9%205 W · 284 L | -14.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad08…c58bbacked NEW VISION | 52c | 265$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.8 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ee…a0bbbacked Vexar | 62c | 259.26$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.52 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed Vexar | 63c | 212.84$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.84 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked NEW VISION | 32c | 202.81$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6aa…178ebacked NEW VISION | 61c | 200.39$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked NEW VISION | 60c | 199.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.99 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Vexar | 47c | 179.35$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 403 | 41.7%168 W · 235 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Vexar | 70c | 177.81$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…abb1backed NEW VISION | 59c | 162.6$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.24 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked NEW VISION | 65c | 146.15$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…fc9bbacked NEW VISION | 60c | 145.1$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.06 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6920…d8debacked Vexar | 73c | 136.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed Vexar | 43c | 131.38$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.6 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…46eebacked Vexar | 62c | 129.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed NEW VISION | 63c | 126.87$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 476 | 55%262 W · 214 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked NEW VISION | 32c | 112.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…9dedbacked NEW VISION | 64c | 110$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed NEW VISION | 39c | 102.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 773 | 46.1%356 W · 417 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Vexar | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 414 | 50.7%210 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…aef7backed Vexar | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe54e…4a99backed Vexar | 72c | 96.65$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed NEW VISION | 28c | 87.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed NEW VISION | 63c | 83.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 848 | 56%475 W · 373 L | +31.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Vexar | 38c | 82.87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Vexar | 59c | 82.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 330 | 50%165 W · 165 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed NEW VISION | 57c | 79.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Vexar | 60c | 74.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Vexar | 52c | 73.45$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c55…8dedbacked NEW VISION | 65c | 72.34$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…bf83backed Vexar | 35c | 70$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0175…acb4backed Vexar | 65c | 69.31$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…0648backed NEW VISION | 39c | 65.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a8…04b4backed Vexar | 77c | 65.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 73cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed NEW VISION | 62c | 63.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked NEW VISION | 29c | 63.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed Vexar | 70c | 62.47$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 129 | 77.5%100 W · 29 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…9626backed NEW VISION | 24c | 59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…bcb8backed Vexar | 78c | 56.57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed NEW VISION | 32c | 53.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked NEW VISION | 63c | 46.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…f0b2backed Vexar | 67c | 44.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa1…ed56backed NEW VISION | 61c | 40.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed NEW VISION | 63c | 38.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked NEW VISION | 31c | 35.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Vexar | 37c | 31.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9c…fd70backed NEW VISION | 58c | 31.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed NEW VISION | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Vexar | 37c | 28.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02e0…9633backed Vexar | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…7045backed NEW VISION | 58c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc809…14ddbacked Vexar | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5backed Vexar | 54c | 24.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…4efebacked Vexar | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…1a7bbacked NEW VISION | 56c | 20.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Play-Inthis page
- Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Vexar - Map 1 WinnerVexar won
- Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Vexar - Map 2 WinnerVexar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.