Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: NOVA (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e393f5c16e8704f861a86d63baba9663dea0c9c717583ced09f9e9d1b6545d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- JD Gamingof Nova Esports, JD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Nova Esports | 1c | 2,040$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Nova Esports | 43c | 422.49$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.67 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5f…555ebacked JD Gaming | 57c | 345.61$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Nova Esports | 42c | 191.91$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed JD Gaming | 61c | 185.01$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…c45dbacked Nova Esports | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked JD Gaming | 58c | 120$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Nova Esports | 39c | 67.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked JD Gaming | 62c | 54.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72da…9b77backed JD Gaming | 57c | 43.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Nova Esports | 37c | 37.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed JD Gaming | 58c | 28.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed JD Gaming | 58c | 28.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed JD Gaming | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed JD Gaming | 61c | 20.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed JD Gaming | 57c | 20.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ad…6b2fbacked JD Gaming | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NOVA (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 PlayoffsJD Gaming won
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming - Map 1 WinnerJD Gaming won
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming - Map 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.