Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4b99b884ca8840f2daf955c94c80af6dcf363a916ef67be76155d1174c76d8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- JD Gamingof Nova Esports, JD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd403…a817backed Nova Esports | 2c | 1,560$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nova Esports | 31c | 1,343$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.42 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nova Esports | 32c | 1,327$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.23 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed Nova Esports | 13c | 894.7$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.51 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nova Esports | 35c | 809.35$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.2 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nova Esports | 29c | 741.73$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.27 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed JD Gaming | 65c | 584.55$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.59 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc290…2e06backed Nova Esports | 22c | 527.54$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.38 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Nova Esports | 53c | 430.61$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.64 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Nova Esports | 34c | 410.84$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.33 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed JD Gaming | 58c | 391.07$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.03 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +10.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nova Esports | 26c | 384.9$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.89 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked JD Gaming | 76c | 380.4$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.02 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nova Esports | 31c | 369.33$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.17 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked JD Gaming | 38c | 361$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.42 | 281 | 43.4%122 W · 159 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Nova Esports | 14c | 361$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…0f3abacked Nova Esports | 51c | 290.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.68 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Nova Esports | 13c | 285.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be5…5ef9backed Nova Esports | 8c | 275.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1940…0ea1backed Nova Esports | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Nova Esports | 33c | 180.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed JD Gaming | 60c | 134.31$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.72 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Nova Esports | 19c | 126.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked Nova Esports | 34c | 101.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked JD Gaming | 72c | 88.33$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a7…ca43backed JD Gaming | 67c | 88.06$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed JD Gaming | 65c | 77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nova Esports | 37c | 76.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed JD Gaming | 35c | 69.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed JD Gaming | 79c | 68.34$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 342 | 53.2%182 W · 160 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…88c9backed JD Gaming | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed JD Gaming | 35c | 38.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…513dbacked Nova Esports | 65c | 33.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed JD Gaming | 67c | 33.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 117 | 70.9%83 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked JD Gaming | 80c | 32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…859cbacked Nova Esports | 54c | 27.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed JD Gaming | 55c | 25.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed JD Gaming | 66c | 22.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed JD Gaming | 52c | 21.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b24…af50backed JD Gaming | 78c | 15.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: NOVA (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)JD Gaming won
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 PlayoffsJD Gaming won
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming - Map 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.