TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-08-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$150,929
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$154,052

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,929 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86da…6428backed Yes45c105,093$46,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,840.731353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No55c30,716$16,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,822.0617249.4%85 W · 87 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No56c27,180$15,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,053.411,61736.3%587 W · 1,030 L-34.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No56c17,816$10,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,808.975,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed Yes44c8,836$3,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8882661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No55c7,530$4,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,355.951,70750.6%863 W · 844 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No55c6,380$3,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,840.032,46740.3%993 W · 1,474 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7dc…21b9backed No55c4,101$2,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844.421450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No56c3,673$2,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,598.382,39737.8%905 W · 1,492 L-3.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No55c2,737$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.9539549.9%197 W · 198 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfab…ccf9backed Yes73c2,426$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,775.141435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes37c2,397$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.872050%10 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No55c2,309$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.738749.6%192 W · 195 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Yes40c2,303$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.431450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Yes45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No61c2,100$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.143842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No60c1,512$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.2282542.4%350 W · 475 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No56c1,500$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6601050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No56c1,482$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.151,76050.3%885 W · 875 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x851b…961ebacked Yes45c1,452$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6516533.8%22 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b4…9fc9backed No56c1,339$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.28837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed No26c1,233$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.424553.3%24 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+37.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes43c1,100$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47328332.5%92 W · 191 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44013855.8%77 W · 61 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No55c955$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.7516454.3%89 W · 75 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No56c948$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.123151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No56c892$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.4828532.3%92 W · 193 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed No60c831.02$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.044165.9%27 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked No62c807.92$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.016243.5%27 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes38c789.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed Yes25c769.98$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.792330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No55c740.72$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No57c677.92$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.71,21450.2%610 W · 604 L+12.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No55c673$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.521,10946.2%512 W · 597 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No56c658$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.4818955%104 W · 85 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed No54c654.92$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.26862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed Yes46c602.37$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.09862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No55c599.99$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.9917147.4%81 W · 90 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.7116647.6%79 W · 87 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed No56c535.28$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.544035%14 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No24c501.96$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.0792235.1%324 W · 598 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed No55c494.37$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.199545.3%43 W · 52 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-21.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Yes46c478.26$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2202544%11 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No56c464$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.4817361.3%106 W · 67 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No57c454.06$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.3630548.5%148 W · 157 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes44c435$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.49747.4%46 W · 51 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No56c416.66$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3313849.3%68 W · 70 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes45c412$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.416541.2%68 W · 97 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes36c360.4$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.931,05341.9%441 W · 612 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes46c360$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.63831.6%12 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No55c350.87$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.0313644.9%61 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No64c348.02$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.2624654.1%133 W · 113 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No56c333$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.5293446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed No56c306.05$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.526953.6%37 W · 32 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf52f…dc59backed Yes25c301.48$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.37714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick22cpaid+29.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.748768%331 W · 156 L+69.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x3c54…bebbbacked Yes70c281.28$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.5920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No20c253.3$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.648953.9%48 W · 41 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9950…1432backed Yes45c250.87$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.891546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No55c244.05$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.221,95954.6%1,069 W · 890 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26b9…6a0cbacked Yes44c224.06$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No56c210.65$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.097857.7%45 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No29c207.04$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.7124247.9%116 W · 126 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8815354.9%84 W · 69 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8816152.2%84 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9021052.4%110 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b89…9f72backed Yes58c199.72$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.822166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No43c190$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.2614646.6%68 W · 78 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed No56c189.98$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2519256.8%109 W · 83 L+14.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked No56c187.55$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.528440.5%34 W · 50 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked No38c170.23$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.237855.1%43 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bc…31fbbacked No61c163.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.71785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick68cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No69c157.27$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9914942.3%63 W · 86 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yes44c152.22$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.069743.3%42 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked No56c151.74$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0710960.6%66 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes40c144.75$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4370842.5%301 W · 407 L-26.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48dd…98cebacked No59c129.51$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No56c127.27$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5231359.7%187 W · 126 L+0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes13c122.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0542425.9%110 W · 314 L-32.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-39.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd5e…c6a1backed Yes46c119.57$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No55c119.5$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6913654.4%74 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x843c…529ebacked Yes43c116.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes43c116.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2912655.6%70 W · 56 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed No56c115.93$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.563756.8%21 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed No57c114.69$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.886460.9%39 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe31f…a37cbacked No55c111.38$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.12475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf14…7243backed Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+76.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd7c…c310backed Yes46c108.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.81560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes40c106$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2943452.1%226 W · 208 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No65c104.22$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6184347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9735…db39backed No63c103.17$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.171758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57ef…044abacked No55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked No23c99.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778625.6%22 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43ed…6232backed Yes66c99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.875337.7%20 W · 33 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-39%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes60c97.8$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5714440.3%58 W · 86 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Yes47c97.18$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.196245.2%28 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x853e…f16abacked Yes44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405236.5%19 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5577…53d2backed Yes50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed No56c89.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.799265.2%60 W · 32 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No33c87$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5872044.2%318 W · 402 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.